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Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm temps and a relatively dry spell ahead

Covering the period from September 23 to 30

By
Well, last week’s forecast was a little hit and miss. The cool high pressure that was forecast to be sitting to our north early in the forecast period dropped farther south than expected, bringing much cooler weather than expected. By the weekend, though, we did see the forecasted building ridge of high pressure that brought
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm and relatively dry weather ahead

Covering the period from September 16 to 23

By
Overall, last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models had predicted with the cold start and then sunny and mild conditions late last week and over the weekend. For this forecast period it looks like the cold air will be kept to our north, but as we slowly move deeper into
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warmer weather returns

Covering the period from September 9 to 16

By
For last week’s forecast the weather models did a pretty darned good job. We definitely saw the cool-down and there were plenty of scattered showers, with central and eastern regions seeing a bit more compared to western regions. The big question is whether we will continue to see cooler-than-average conditions — or will we see
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Near-freezing temperatures not that far off

Forecast issued Aug. 28, covering the period from Sept. 2 to 9

By
Interestingly, even though there was not a lot of confidence in much of last week’s forecast, it was the lower-confidence second half of the forecast that ended up being the most accurate. This means it looks like we are in for a period of cool weather after nearly three months of above-average conditions. Looking at
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Columns, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Lots of uncertainty in the skies

Forecast issued Aug. 21, 2020, covering the period from Aug. 26 to Sept. 2, 2020

By
Last issue’s forecast didn’t pan out exactly as the weather models figured. As with previous forecasts, the general pattern was fairly accurate, but the timing ended up being off by several days. As we continue into the transition period between summer and fall, we will likely see more difficulties with the weather models trying to
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Seasonable temperatures ahead

Covering the period from August 19 to August 26

By
As the summer of 2020 begins to wind down, the medium-range weather models point to seasonable temperatures to end the month, with no signs of any large cool-downs or “tastes of fall” — at least for now. To begin this forecast period, the weather models show an area of low pressure pushing in from the
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Weather: The hottest Manitoba summers

There isn’t a clear-cut definition of what makes a heat wave

By
For the first time in a while, I am going off grid and enjoying the great outdoors. So, this time around I am digging back and refreshing an older article about the warmest Manitoba summers. So far this year, using Winnipeg as a data point, we have the beginnings of a hot summer, but August
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Hot, humid weather pulls back

Covering the period from August 5 to August 12

By
Well, I think to a lot of people’s relief, the building upper ridge that was forecasted to bring more extreme heat and humidity to our region during the last forecast period ended up staying a little farther to our west. The result of this shift was warm but more comfortable temperatures with a few added
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm, humid, chance of thunderstorms

Covering the period from July 29 to August 5

By
Overall, the weather models seem to have a pretty good handle on the general weather pattern across our region. The last forecast worked out pretty well, with the usual differences in some of the timings of systems, and as always it can be difficult to predict just when or where thunderstorms will develop. For this
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Above-average temperatures continue

Covering the period from July 22 to July 29

By
After a bit of a break from the really warm temperatures we saw during the first week or so of July, it looks like the heat will try to build back in during this forecast period as an upper ridge builds over the central U.S. The big question is, just how far north will this

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