GFM Network News


(Dave Bedard photo)

Feds tighten forecast for wheat carryout

MarketsFarm — Canadian wheat carryout for the 2021-22 crop year will be even tighter than earlier forecasts, according to updated supply/demand estimates from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC), released Wednesday. The October report included only minor adjustments for most crops, with the most notable change from September being a 500,000-tonne reduction in projected wheat ending

Wheat being loaded onto a cargo ship in Vancouver in 2011. (File photo: Reuters/Ben Nelms)

Exports tumble as supplies simply not there

'There's very little to sell'

MarketsFarm — Cereal and oilseed exports out of Canada nosedived in August just as the 2021-22 marketing began, according to the monthly export report from the Canadian Grain Commission (CGC). At about 2.24 million tonnes, total grain exports were down 38.5 per cent overall compared to those in August 2020. “There’s very little to sell.


Manitoba harvest 95 per cent complete, soils remain dry

Manitoba Crop Report and Crop Weather report for October 5

Southwest Region Temperatures have been variable, with daytime highs ranging from 27 to 32 C. Overnight lows dropped to as low as 5.0 to -0.5 C, with no severe frost reports. Average daily temperatures range from 14 C to 16 C. Forecast looks promising for the remainder of harvest. Above normal temperatures are making harvest

CBOT December 2021 wheat (candlesticks) with 20-day moving average (yellow line) and MGEX December 2021 spring wheat (dark green line, left column). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Wheat extends climb on tight U.S. supply

CBOT soy down; corn and oats up

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. wheat futures hit a six-week high on Friday, rallying for a second day in a row on smaller-than-expected stocks and production figures from the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Corn futures followed wheat higher while soybeans fell to multi-month lows after USDA on Thursday reported larger-than-expected U.S. soy inventories. Chicago Board



Prices are high, but production is down. For farmers who signed forward pricing contracts that’s a difficult position. A different strategy might have given them the same protection with less risk.

Avoiding the grain contract blues

Delivery contracts aren’t the only game in town when it comes to managing price risk

The old saying goes “you’ll never go broke selling crops for a profit,” — but you could be in a financial pickle if you don’t deliver what you sold. That hard financial reality has put the long tradition of forward pricing contracts under the microscope this year. It’s prompting questions about the responsibility farmers and

ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Analyst sees canola spike late next month

Movement expected to roll out of November soon

MarketsFarm — As the canola harvest winds down on the Prairies, ICE Futures canola began to climb upward in approaching $900 per tonne, the upper limit of its range. That’s given Winnipeg-based analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain reason to believe canola will bust through $900 per tonne. “That’s all due to the drought and

Manitoba crops 90 per cent harvested, winter cereals seeding mostly complete

Manitoba Crop Report and Crop Weather report for September 28

Southwest Region Very warm days, well above seasonal norms advanced harvest rapidly this week. Temperatures were extremely variable, with daytime highs ranging from the 25 C to 29 C, while overnight lows dipped to 3.5 C, with reports of frost in some northern areas. Average daily temperatures range from 11 C to 14 C. Dry


Crop production in Manitoba will be down in 2021 due to extreme heat and dry growing conditions, but Statistics Canada’s latest estimates offer some hope for higher-than-expected yields.

Manitoba yields down, but still ahead of Saskatchewan, Alberta

StatsCan cut Manitoba yield estimates for most crops in its Sept. 14 report, but raised soybeans and corn yields

Statistics Canada’s latest estimate of Manitoba crop yields are down for most crops, with two main exceptions: soybeans and grain corn. As in its previous report, StatsCan expects most Manitoba crops will yield better than those in Saskatchewan and Alberta. Still, while some experts say these latest yield estimates are likely closer to reality than

CBOT December 2021 wheat (candlesticks) with December 2021 oats (orange line, left column). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Wheat firms on global supply issues

Oats also push corn higher

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago wheat futures firmed on Thursday, strengthened by global supply concerns and a firming oat futures market on drought-stricken North American supplies. Corn and soybeans edged higher, supported by wheat and oats. The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board Of Trade (CBOT) added 12 cents to $7.17-3/4 a bushel (all