Latest articles


Forecast: Lots of uncertainty in the week ahead

Issued May 13, 2019: Covering the period from May 15 to May 22

The two main weather models I look at when trying to come up with the forecast each week are interpreting the overall big picture similarly for the next week or two — but as I’ve pointed out several times over the years, a difference of only a few hundred kilometres can have a major impact […] Read more


Forecast: Seasonable weather, but continued dry spell

Issued May 6, 2019: Covering the period from May 8 to May 15

It finally looks like we are almost done dealing with a large upper-level low that has been controlling our weather over the last couple of weeks. The main upper low did track across north-central Manitoba over the weekend as predicted, but instead of moving off into Quebec, it looks like it will meander over Hudson […] Read more



Forecast: A slow warming trend ahead

Issued April 29, 2019: Covering the period from May 1 to May 8

Once again, last week’s forecast quickly fell apart as cool high pressure combined with a retrograding upper low over Northern Canada played havoc with the forecast. What looked to be a fairly wet period turned out to be dry, as the forecast areas of low pressure were pushed to our south with only far western […] Read more


cracked earth on a sunny day

Planet continues to run hot

Don’t confuse our local weather with what’s happening globally

I wish I could open this article talking about how the medium-range forecast for the next couple of weeks is all about sunshine, warmth, and nice drying weather. Unfortunately, if you take a look at this issue’s forecast, it is looking like we might just be moving into a cool, wet period. Right now, I […] Read more



Forecast: Is the dry spring weather coming to an end?

Issued April 22, 2019: Covering the period from April 24 to May 1

For the first time in a while, last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models were predicting, with the added bonus of temperatures ending up a little warmer than expected. This forecast period will begin with a predominantly zonal flow with the jet stream tracking across the southern Prairies. This will […] Read more


Neither rain nor snow nor sleet nor hail

Most of our region’s rain begins as snow — Part 2 of a series

In my previous article we discussed warm and cold clouds and we learned that most of our local precipitation is produced in cold clouds, which means that most of it starts off as snow – even in the summer! This week we are going to look at the different types of precipitation we experience and […] Read more



Forecast: It’s feeling more like spring

Issued April 15, 2019: Covering the period from April 17 to April 24

For those of you who closely follow the weather and forecasting, you know that small changes early in the forecast period are often amplified later. Last week’s forecast was a perfect example of this. The arctic high that brought the cool weather last week also helped to protect us from a large Colorado low that […] Read more


A look at different types of precipitation

Cold clouds dominate Prairie weather for most of the year — Part 1 of a series

With the mixed bag of precipitation that can typically occur during the spring across the Prairies, I thought it might be time to go back and visit the topic of precipitation and just how precipitation forms. Using a simplistic view, there are two types of clouds: cold and warm. A warm cloud is any cloud […] Read more



Forecast: Seasonable but unsettled weather

Issued April 8, 2019: Covering the period from April 10 to April 17

Last week’s forecast called for a shift in the large-scale weather pattern, and while we did see a shift, it didn’t shift exactly as forecast. While the large low over northeastern Canada did shift eastward and weaken, it was replaced by an area of arctic high pressure that has been helping to keep the really […] Read more


Forecast: Spring melt to begin in earnest

Issued April 1, 2019: Covering the period from April 3 to April 9

Surprisingly, last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the models had forecast. The biggest difference was in the overnight lows, which tended to be a little warmer than forecast. While the cooler-than-average temperatures might not have been what everyone wanted, they did create nearly perfect conditions for a nice slow melt. It is […] Read more