Issued August 14, 2017: Covering the period from August 16 to August 23
Even though I had to create the forecast early last week I was still able to pull off a reasonably accurate one. I would love to take full credit for that, but sometimes you just get lucky. After all, I am just reading weather models and trying to pick which models are doing the best […] Read more
It has been hot and dry across much of the region, but there’s variation within that trend
There have been more and more news stories coming out about the hot and dry conditions across the Prairies so far this summer, especially across Alberta and Saskatchewan. I figured we should take a little time to look at what has been happening weather-wise across the agricultural Prairies to see just what’s been going on. […] Read more
Issued August 4, 2017: Covering the period from August 9 to August 18
Last week’s forecast quickly fell apart, at least from the point of view of temperature, as the upper low that brought some much-needed rain to western regions also altered the upper-level flow. The upper low combined with the building ridge of high pressure over extreme western North America shifted our flow from west-northwesterly to more […] Read more
Issued July 31, 2017 – Covering the period from August 2 to August 9, 2017
With the exception of a few timing issues, last week’s forecast was pretty decent as high pressure dominated the picture, bringing with it the warmest weather of the summer. This forecast period looks to begin with a little break from the hot, muggy weather, though that break may be short lived as it appears likely […] Read more
Issued July 24, 2017 – Covering the period from July 26 to August 2, 2017
So far this summer forecasting the weather has been tough, to say the least. We’ve basically been in a battle between a ridge of high pressure to our southwest and an active storm track to our north. Every time the weather models predict that the ridge of high pressure will win out, a storm system […] Read more
Last week’s forecast began with a much-stronger-than-anticipated area of low pressure that brought some welcome rains to a good portion of southern and central Manitoba. The rest of the forecast played out fairly well, but once again, the forecast heat didn’t really materialize as the western ridge of high pressure is continually knocked down every […] Read more
Well, for once, our weather over the last forecast period played out fairly close to what the weather models were calling for and we didn’t get hijacked by an upper-level low. What didn’t pan out as forecast was the extreme heat that was expected to move in — at least, not yet. The weather models […] Read more
Issued July 3, 2017 – Covering the period from July 5 to July 12, 2017
I’m beginning to sound like a broken record, but once again our weather was hijacked by an upper-level low. This one sat over northern Manitoba late last week, then dropped to the southeast early last weekend. This looks to be the last of these pesky upper lows as all of the weather models point toward […] Read more
Issued June 26, 2017 – Covering the period from June 28 to July 5, 2017
Well, once again our weather was hijacked by not one, but two upper lows. The first one brought the cool and cloudy conditions late last week. That low then pulled off to the east as expected, but another upper low was captured in the northwest flow behind the first upper low and we saw a […] Read more
Issued June 19, 2017 – Covering the period from June 21 to June 28, 2017
We have definitely undergone a major shift in our weather pattern thanks to last week’s large and slow-moving upper low. This upper low formed as originally forecast and actually followed the forecasted track. What it didn’t follow was the timeline. The low moved into northwestern Ontario as expected last Friday, but then stuck around until […] Read more
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