Latest articles

Forecast: Very slow return towards warmer weather

Issued April 24, 2017 – Covering the period from April 26 to May 3, 2017

Once again it seems that the writing of my forecast coincides with a possible major storm system. I write my forecasts late on Sunday or early on Monday and you see it Wednesday. For this forecast period, whether some regions saw significant snowfall on Monday will have an impact on temperatures until at least Friday. […] Read more

Forecast: No big warm-up before end of month

Issued April 17, 2017 – Covering the period from April 19 to April 26, 2017

Last week’s forecast once again turned out to be pretty good. A strong area of low pressure did form late last week and tracked through the north-central Prairie provinces over the weekend. Southern regions ended up seeing nicer-than-expected weather last Friday and Saturday, but a small fairly strong upper-level system brought some unwanted rain early […] Read more

Forecast: Low confidence in weather models

Issued April 10, 2017 – Covering the period from April 12 to April 19, 2017

Surprisingly, last week’s forecast turned out to be pretty good, despite the inconsistencies in the weather models. I think the biggest problem with the forecast was the timing of the cold front that swept through the region over the week. After a nice warm day Saturday, the cold front, which was originally forecast to move […] Read more

Forecast: Warmest temperatures of the year expected

Issued April 3, 2017 – Covering the period from April 5 to April 12, 2017

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Spring is often the toughest time to try and forecast the weather, and this year is no exception. The overall pattern for last week’s forecast played out as expected, but missed out on most of the details as the timing and placement of major weather systems […] Read more

Visualizing wind and early-spring storms

Some of the largest snowstorms in our part of the world have been in March or April

Every couple of years I like to go back and visit the topic of spring snowstorms. Unlike Christmas snowstorms, I do not secretly wish for a spring snowstorm. Maybe when I was younger I did, but now I just want nice warm, dry weather to move in. On the positive side of things, the current […] Read more

Forecast: Split flow keeping us relatively dry

Issued March 27, 2017 – Covering the period from March 29 to April 5, 2017

Last week’s forecast, once again, didn’t play out quite as expected. While it wasn’t a total bust, the forecast slowly fell apart as the main weather makers ended up falling into a pattern that was not initially forecast. This turned out to be a good thing for our region as the main storm track shifted […] Read more

Warm February and spring flooding

This winter’s freeze-and-thaw cycles have created snowpacks of solid ice

I have a few thing to cover in this article. First of all, where did all the snow go from the big blizzard that hit western Manitoba? I was lucky enough to head out with my school for a couple of days of skiing at Asessippi last week and I was scratching my head trying […] Read more

Forecast: Plenty of chances for precipitation

Issued March 20, 2017 – Covering the period from March 22 to March 29, 2017

Once again, the overall forecasted weather pattern played out pretty well, but as always, the devil is in the details. The area of low pressure forecast to track through northern Manitoba last Thursday and Friday ended up taking a more southerly route, bringing significant March rains to a good part of southern Manitoba. Last weekend’s […] Read more

Huge blizzard batters over half of Manitoba

March and April storms aren’t all that unusual, but this storm system’s size was

I wonder what the topic should be for this week’s article? Maybe, just maybe, we should take a look at the massive blizzard that struck and paralyzed over three-quarters of Manitoba last week. What looked initially in the weather models to be a modest storm turned out to be a record-breaking storm that impacted all […] Read more

Forecast: Slowly moving back toward spring

Issued March 13, 2017 – Covering the period from March 15 to March 22, 2017

Well, I did not do the best job with last week’s forecast. The winter storm ended up being much stronger than expected and when that happens, the system kind of takes control over the overall weather pattern, rewriting the forecast. The one thing that did occur as expected was the cold arctic high- pressure system […] Read more