Forecast: Plenty of chances for precipitation

Issued March 20, 2017 – Covering the period from March 22 to March 29, 2017

Once again, the overall forecasted weather pattern played out pretty well, but as always, the devil is in the details. The area of low pressure forecast to track through northern Manitoba last Thursday and Friday ended up taking a more southerly route, bringing significant March rains to a good part of southern Manitoba. Last weekend’s […] Read more

Huge blizzard batters over half of Manitoba

March and April storms aren’t all that unusual, but this storm system’s size was

I wonder what the topic should be for this week’s article? Maybe, just maybe, we should take a look at the massive blizzard that struck and paralyzed over three-quarters of Manitoba last week. What looked initially in the weather models to be a modest storm turned out to be a record-breaking storm that impacted all […] Read more

Forecast: Slowly moving back toward spring

Issued March 13, 2017 – Covering the period from March 15 to March 22, 2017

Well, I did not do the best job with last week’s forecast. The winter storm ended up being much stronger than expected and when that happens, the system kind of takes control over the overall weather pattern, rewriting the forecast. The one thing that did occur as expected was the cold arctic high- pressure system […] Read more

Top five regional weather stories of 2016

Last fall’s heat wave was amazing in its duration — and by how much it broke records

Before we dive into this week’s topic I think I need to change my weather outlook for March. Currently, the medium-range weather models show cooler weather sticking around until at least the third week of March. Even if we see a dramatic warmup during the last week of the month, it will not be enough […] Read more

Forecast: Winter settling back in over Manitoba

Issued March 6, 2017 – Covering the period from March 8 to March 15, 2017

As I write this forecast late Sunday evening, all eyes are turned toward a major storm system that is forecast to affect pretty much all of Manitoba on Monday and Tuesday. As you read this, you’re likely just finishing digging out from the first major snowfall since early January, or you’re trying to clean up […] Read more

Warm weather wins out this winter

Nature has taken back a significant chunk of the snowpack it gave us

From a climatological point of view, winter is now over: the 12-month year is broken into four equally long seasons, with winter covering December, January and February. From a southern and central Manitoba view, we still have one month to go. For us, winter starts in November and usually ends in March. Looking back at […] Read more

Forecast: Cool with a chance of snow

Issued February 27, 2017 – Covering the period from March 1 to March 8, 2017

After an extreme warm period, it looks like we are back into more winter-like conditions for this forecast period. This continues the pattern we have seen since early December, of alternating periods of warm and cold weather. This time, though, it does not look like we will see any extremely cold weather move in. For […] Read more

Forecast: Cooling down to more seasonal temperatures

Issued February 17, 2017 – Covering the period from February 22 to March 1, 2017

Due to the holiday Monday, my deadline for the weather forecast was much earlier than usual. Because of this, I will have to skip some of the details and stick with a more generalized forecast. After a warm to record-warm end to the last forecast period, this forecast period is going to feel a little […] Read more

Global warming and manufactured doubt

Debate in peer-reviewed science about human-induced warming has been over for ages

Several years ago, Weather Underground’s co-founder Jeff Masters wrote a blog about the manufactured doubt industry, how and when it was created, and how it now plays into the current global warming or climate change controversy. At the time I emailed Jeff Masters asking permission to use some of the information from his blog in […] Read more

Forecast: Warm, with a chance of rain

Issued February 13, 2017 – Covering the period from February 15 to February 22, 2017

Timing of weather systems ended up being an issue with last week’s forecast. We did see a system late last week give a general five cm of snow to a good part of southern and central Manitoba, but it came through a day earlier than forecast. The second low slid quickly through central regions as […] Read more