Weather Vane

As the summer of 2020 begins to wind down, the medium-range weather models point to seasonable temperatures to end the month, with no signs of any large cool-downs or “tastes of fall” — at least for now. To begin this forecast period, the weather models show an area of low pressure pushing in from the

Well, I think to a lot of people’s relief, the building upper ridge that was forecasted to bring more extreme heat and humidity to our region during the last forecast period ended up staying a little farther to our west. The result of this shift was warm but more comfortable temperatures with a few added

After a bit of a break from the really warm temperatures we saw during the first week or so of July, it looks like the heat will try to build back in during this forecast period as an upper ridge builds over the central U.S. The big question is, just how far north will this

Once again, the weather models did an OK job with the last forecast. What’s fairly typical in the summer is that the timing of systems ended up drifting off by several days. For this forecast period, the weather models show a large area of low pressure — an upper low — slowly drifting across the north-central Prairies. This

The weather models got the heat and humidity correct with last week’s forecast; what they missed was the western boundary of the hot, humid air. That boundary ended up being a little farther east than forecasted, which resulted in unsettled conditions that dominated the weather over western Manitoba and led to some historic rain events. For this forecast period,