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Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Expect more unsettled but mild weather

Issued September 18, 2017: Covering the period from September 20 to 27

By
The first part of last week’s forecast played out fairly close to what the weather models predicted. The main area of low pressure and the associated rainfall moved through our region late last Friday. Unfortunately or fortunately, depending on your perspective, the main rainfall stayed to our south and east, with most areas seeing between
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Continued warm, but wetter

Issued September 11, 2017: Covering the period from September 13 to 20

By
The weather models were surprisingly accurate over the last week or two, thanks in part to a fairly persistent ridge of high pressure. For this forecast period it looks like we will see a shift in our overall weather pattern. The question is whether this will be a temporary shift or a more permanent one.
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Little taste of fall, then back to summer

Issued September 1, 2017: Covering the period from September 6 to 13

By
Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models had predicted. For this forecast period, confidence levels are not very high due to an earlier-than-usual deadline because of the long weekend. That said, the weather models have been fairly consistent with their predictions over the last couple of days, with only the
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Temperatures overall remaining warm

Issued August 28, 2017: Covering the period from August 30 to September 6

By
Last week’s forecast quickly fell apart as two small but significant upper lows travelled across our region. The second of these upper lows moved through last Wednesday and brought with it some very cool temperatures. By Thursday morning temperatures in some localities dropped very close to the freezing point, giving us the first taste of
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm and dry to start; cooler next week?

Issued August 21, 2017: Covering the period from August 23 to August 30

By
Last week’s forecast — at least the first part — wasn’t too bad, but things kind of fell apart on Sunday and into the first part of this week. I had pointed out that confidence in that part of the forecast was low. The disappointing part for some people was the weak system that came
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm weather to build back in

Issued August 14, 2017: Covering the period from August 16 to August 23

By
Even though I had to create the forecast early last week I was still able to pull off a reasonably accurate one. I would love to take full credit for that, but sometimes you just get lucky. After all, I am just reading weather models and trying to pick which models are doing the best
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Slow warming trend expected

Issued August 4, 2017: Covering the period from August 9 to August 18

By
Last week’s forecast quickly fell apart, at least from the point of view of temperature, as the upper low that brought some much-needed rain to western regions also altered the upper-level flow. The upper low combined with the building ridge of high pressure over extreme western North America shifted our flow from west-northwesterly to more
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Models confident in high pressure

Issued July 31, 2017 – Covering the period from August 2 to August 9, 2017

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With the exception of a few timing issues, last week’s forecast was pretty decent as high pressure dominated the picture, bringing with it the warmest weather of the summer. This forecast period looks to begin with a little break from the hot, muggy weather, though that break may be short lived as it appears likely
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: High pressure set to dominate for the next few days

Issued July 24, 2017 – Covering the period from July 26 to August 2, 2017

By
So far this summer forecasting the weather has been tough, to say the least. We’ve basically been in a battle between a ridge of high pressure to our southwest and an active storm track to our north. Every time the weather models predict that the ridge of high pressure will win out, a storm system
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Columns, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: A potential heat wave, again

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Last week’s forecast began with a much-stronger-than-anticipated area of low pressure that brought some welcome rains to a good portion of southern and central Manitoba. The rest of the forecast played out fairly well, but once again, the forecast heat didn’t really materialize as the western ridge of high pressure is continually knocked down every

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