Forecast: Mild weather with little precipitation ahead

Issued November 19, 2018: Covering the period from November 21 to November 28

Things are looking pretty quiet on the weather front over the next week or two as we slowly work our way into winter. After what appeared to be an early start to winter back in October, things have settled down a little bit, with most regions having only a little snow cover so far. With

Bad weather forecasts? Blame the leaky bucket

Spring and fall are always the most difficult seasons to forecast weather in as things change quickly

I think I need to begin this article with an apology for the fairly dismal forecasts that I’ve been making this past couple of weeks. It is at times like this that I really appreciate the fact that I don’t have to create a forecast every day — especially at this time of the year!


Forecast: A first taste of winter

Issued November 5, 2018: Covering the period from November 7 to November 14

Last week’s forecast did not play out very well. While high pressure did try to build in it wasn’t nearly as strong as expected. Combine this with the several areas of low pressure that were forecasted actually tracking by to our south, and we ended up with more clouds than sunshine. One bright spot was

Forecast: Seasonable weather start to November

Issued October 29, 2018: Covering the period from November 1 to November 6

Last week’s forecast played out pretty well, with only slight differences in the timing of the systems impacting the weather. For this forecast period, it looks like the fairly nice fall weather is going to continue, with temperatures fluctuating between slightly below average to a little above average. For those regions that are still needing


Forecast: Warm-cool weather cycle to persist

Issued October 22, 2018: Covering the period from October 24 to October 31

We definitely saw a return of warm and sunny weather this last forecast period. All the right conditions came together last Thursday to bring record-breaking temperatures across much of southern and central Manitoba. While the warm weather only lasted a day before cooler weather moved back in on Friday and Saturday, Sunday did see a

Forecast: Sunny and milder weather returning

Issued October 15, 2018: Covering the period from October 17 to October 24

For the first time in a while, the forecast played out pretty close to what was expected, and there is finally some hope on the horizon that we’ll see an end to the month-long period of cool, wet weather in which we’ve been stuck. For this forecast period, it looks as though we may actually


Forecast: A few more days of gloomy weather

Issued October 8, 2018: Covering the period from October 10 to October 17

This time all of the ingredients for the first measurable snowfall of the season came together, bringing anywhere from a light accumulation of snow to upward of five to eight cm. It then looked like we were going to see a major rain or snow event late last weekend and into the first half of

Forecast: Stuck in a cold unsettled pattern

Issued October 1, 2018: Covering the period from October 3 to October 10

All the ingredients for our first measurable snowfall of the season were in place during last week’s forecast period, they just didn’t come together at the same time. While some areas did see some snowflakes, and there may have been a few locations near the lakes that saw a little bit of accumulation, overall, we


Forecast: Cold, wet weather to continue

Issued September 24, 2018: Covering the period from September 26 to October 3

The only issue with last week’s forecast was the temperature. Thanks to a bit of a stronger push of cold air than was forecast, temperatures for much of last week’s forecast period were a good 5 C cooler than expected. It was really noticeable last weekend as heavy cloud cover, showers, rain and even some

Forecast: Cool, unsettled conditions expected

Issued September 17, 2018: Covering the period from September 19 to September 26

Looking back at last week’s forecast, it would seem I was way off with my forecast for widespread frost. I can’t even really say I was close, but if we look at the overall weather pattern for last week, you could actually say I was close. Thanks to a strong area of high pressure over