Last week’s forecast wasn’t as far off as it may have seemed. It’s always tough to make a forecast when you are dealing with strong highs and weak lows, as you never really know which one will win out and just how the timing will work out. This is what we saw with last week’s
Forecast: Cold weather start, then a warm up
Covering the period from November 14 to November 20, 2019
Will our cool fall shape up into a cold winter?
Will the cool and moist trend continue on into the early winter?
First off, I have to apologize for missing last week. No excuses, I simply screwed up and missed my deadline. So, for this week’s article, I am going to do my best to combine the key parts of last week’s article with the new stuff from this week. Since it is the end of the
Forecast: Cold with a few chances of light snow
Covering the period from November 4 to November 13, 2019
Normally I would begin the forecast with a quick review of the previous forecast, but since I messed up hitting my deadline last week you didn’t see my best forecast ever! Just kidding, but it was a pretty good forecast. Remember, it’s not really me doing much of the forecasting, I am simply analyzing the
An October storm for the record books
This was about as close as you could get to a textbook Colorado low
Hmmm… I wonder what I should talk about this time around? Maybe the massive, record-setting snow- and rainstorm that struck a large part of southern and central Manitoba from Oct. 10 to 12? Now, for those who have followed my articles over the years, you will know I’m not going to try and attempt to
Forecast: Drier weather pattern developing
Covering the period from October 21 to October 30, 2019
What can I say? I’m only as good as the weather models, and when trying to create a seven- to 10-day forecast five days in advance, there are going to be times when the forecast is off — sometimes way off. This is exactly what happened in the last forecast. Within a day or two
Winter storms and how they form
Moisture-laden air from the south, say hello to cool air dropping in from the north
So far this fall the Prairies have already seen several large early-winter-like storm systems. Southern parts of Alberta received a significant snowstorm from Sept. 28 to 30 while southern Manitoba experienced a significant rain and snowstorm from Oct. 10 to 12. Most of our big autumn or winter snowfalls come from areas of low pressure
Forecast: Cooler weather on deck, but not cold
Covering the period from October 14 to 23, 2019
Well, besides getting last week’s brief warm-up correct and the cold front that moved through last Wednesday, the weather models kind of missed the big storm system — or did they? If you remember back to last July, my deadline for the forecast changed from Monday (two days before you typically read this) to Friday (five days before
Forecast: Warm start, then cooler temperatures
Covering the period from October 8 to 16, 2019
Overall, last week’s forecast was pretty spot on. There was a bit of a timing issue as this week rolled around, but for the most part I was impressed with the accuracy of the forecast. For this week’s forecast I am happy to say we will see at least a little bit of heat as
Will September’s wet weather continue?
You’d think it also would’ve been a colder-than-average September, but no
Last issue I talked about the rain — and no, it is not my fault that we received even more rain before the month of September was out, so quit blaming me! Now that the rainiest September on record for a large portion of southern Manitoba has come to an end, it’s time to take
Manitoba just came out of its wettest September in 100 years
Summer-like humidity led to a couple of record-warm overnights
With my new earlier deadline it’s just a bit too early for me to do my look back at the previous month’s weather, but I think it is pretty obvious what this week’s weather topic should be: rain. As I work away on this article late trying to beat my morning deadline, it’s raining once