Forecast: Hot, but with the chance of rain

Issued May 21, 2018: Covering the period from May 23 to May 30, 2018

My weather forecasts seem to be starting off the same every week now. Last week’s forecast was nearly bang on, except for a little more rain over eastern regions last Friday. For this forecast period, it is going to feel more like mid-summer rather than late spring. While the hot weather will not help those

thunderstorm weather

Time to learn about thunderstorms

When conditions are in place, we have a watch; when storms happen, we have a warning

As spring begins to transition into summer, I like to revisit what I find to be one of the most interesting weather topics: thunderstorms. As temperatures begin to climb and moisture (hopefully) begins to flow northward, the ingredients come together to develop thunderstorms. So far this year we haven’t seen much thunderstorm activity, but as


Seeding 80 per cent complete, rain needed for germination and crop growth

Manitoba Crop Report and Crop Weather report for May 22

Seeding operations continue across Manitoba. Provincially, seeding progress estimated at 80 per cent complete. Winter injury resulted in some reseeding of winter wheat in the Central, Eastern, and Interlake regions. Dry conditions have resulted in slow growth and difficulties assessing injury. Precipitation variable throughout the province, with most areas in the Central and Eastern regions

Forecast: Above-average temperatures, little or no rain

Issued May 14, 2018: Covering the period from May 16 to May 23, 2018

Last week again played out about as close to what was forecast as could be expected. The biggest issue with the forecast was the very cold overnight lows we saw late last week. Cold temperatures were predicted, but the extreme overnight lows were a result of very dry air along with very dry surface conditions





Seeding more than half complete, some crops begin to emerge

Manitoba Crop Report and Crop Weather report for May 14

Provincially, seeding in Manitoba estimated to be 55 per cent complete. Cereals, peas, and some early seeded canola are starting to emerge. No significant precipitation was received; in the majority of the province soils are dry and precipitation is needed to aid in crop germination and emergence. Temperatures below 0 C reported throughout the province.

One grain on eroded land

Is the ‘D’ word rearing its ugly head?

Agricultural Manitoba is going into seeding with below-average precipitation in the bank

After a dry to very dry winter and spring across agricultural Manitoba, there comes a time when we have to begin talking about the dreaded “D” word: drought. Looking up some definitions of drought, here is what I have found: In the most general sense, drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation over an extended


Averaged global sea surface temperature anomalies (in degrees Celsius) for the week centred on May 2, 2018. (NOAA Climate Prediction Center graphic)

El Nino pattern could emerge by 2018-19 winter

Reuters — The El Nino weather pattern, associated with warmer and wetter weather than usual that may give rise to damaging conditions, could emerge by the 2018-19 Northern Hemisphere winter, with neutral conditions expected to prevail through November this year, a U.S. government weather forecaster said on Thursday. The last El Nino, a warming of

Forecast: No significant rain expected

Issued May 7, 2018: Covering the period from May 9 to May 16, 2018

Overall, the weather models did a good job with last week’s forecast. There was a little more wind than expected (bad), but temperatures over the weekend and into the first part of this week were warmer than forecast (good). For this forecast period we’ll start with two areas of low pressure influencing our region. The


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