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Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm with a chance of storms

Covering the period from July 15 to July 22

By
Once again, the weather models did an OK job with the last forecast. What’s fairly typical in the summer is that the timing of systems ended up drifting off by several days. For this forecast period, the weather models show a large area of low pressure — an upper low — slowly drifting across the north-central Prairies. This
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm with a chance of storms

Covering the period from July 8 to July 15

By
The weather models got the heat and humidity correct with last week’s forecast; what they missed was the western boundary of the hot, humid air. That boundary ended up being a little farther east than forecasted, which resulted in unsettled conditions that dominated the weather over western Manitoba and led to some historic rain events. For this forecast period,
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm weather and humidity to return

Covering the period from June 24 to July 1

By
After a string of weeks where the weather models did a pretty darned good job with the forecasts, last week’s forecast ended up as a bit of a stinker. Hopefully the transition to summer is finally done, which should mean a little less volatility in the weather. For this forecast period, we will finally be
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Summer weather is moving in

Covering the period from June 17 to June 24

By
Well, last week’s storm system, which combined with the remnants of tropical storm Cristobal, ended up playing out pretty close to what the weather models predicted. The timing of some of the features was off by a day or so, but overall, they did a good job. For this forecast period, it looks like we should be done with these
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Cool weather and an unsettled start

Covering the period from June 10 to June 17

By
The weather models did a fairly decent job with last article’s general weather outlook. I am hoping, for this outlook — at least for the first half — that the models are off, as it looks like a cool and wet start. There is a little bit of uncertainty with the early part of this forecast, as it’s quite
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Summer weather, finally

Covering the period from June 3 to June 10

By
Last article’s general weather outlook was not too bad. The only part that was off a bit was the cool air that worked its way into our region late last week. The weather models originally had the cool air staying to our northeast, but the upper low that tracked through north-central Manitoba last week ended up being
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm weather with increasing humidity

Covering the period from May 27 to June 3

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The main area of low pressure that the models forecasted to impact our region during the last forecast period did materialize, but it ended up taking a much more westerly route than expected. In fact, the low retrograded or moved from east to west a little bit. This meant the rainfall from this system fell
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Summer weather tries to move in

Covering the period from May 20 to May 27

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There was a little discrepancy in last week’s weather outlook. We had more clouds and showers early on, before the predicted milder air finally moved in over the long weekend. The strong area of low pressure predicted to begin affecting our region May 18 to 20 is still on track as I’m writing this, but
This weather graphic comes to us from the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service and shows the global surface air temperature anomalies for April 2020. April was very warm across a large part of Siberia as well as Greenland. It also jumps out that much of central North America was colder than average, with the coldest region found just to our west and northwest.
Other, Weather

Forecast: Milder with a chance of rain

Covering the period from May 13 to May 20

By
Last week’s weather outlook turned out to be remarkably accurate — way to go, weather models! The only piece that was slightly off was the Alberta low that was forecast to affect southern Manitoba last weekend and into the first part of this week. That low moved in a little quicker and mostly tracked through southern Saskatchewan. Now, on to this week’s outlook. Good news! I am
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Cool with a chance of rain, even snow

Covering the period from May 6 to May 13

By
Well, as it is starting to look and feel a little more like spring out there, I wish the latest forecast was as rosy looking as the last. During the last forecast period we saw warm air work in as expected, and several areas saw their first 20 C day of the year. The strong

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