Forecast: Seasonably cold and dry weather ahead

Issued December 4, 2017: Covering the period from December 6 to December 13

If you have been regularly checking out the weather models over the last couple of weeks you would have noticed they have been having a hard time nailing things down. One model run shows a large storm system, then 12 hours later the next model run has no storm system at all; two days later

Forecast: Mild weather to continue

Issued November 27, 2017: Covering the period from November 29 to December 6

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models predicted, with the exception of the possible major winter storm that the models were hinting at for late this week. It seems, according to the weather models, that we are heading into a fairly quiet weather pattern over the next week or two,


Forecast: Warm and dry to start; cooler next week?

Issued August 21, 2017: Covering the period from August 23 to August 30

Last week’s forecast — at least the first part — wasn’t too bad, but things kind of fell apart on Sunday and into the first part of this week. I had pointed out that confidence in that part of the forecast was low. The disappointing part for some people was the weak system that came



Forecast: Light snow, but no big storms

Issued Feb. 1, 2016, covering the period from Feb. 3, 2016 to Feb. 10, 2016

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what was predicted. Last Wednesday’s Alberta clipper tracked a little farther south and packed a bit of a stronger punch than anticipated, while the weekend system was weaker than expected. These two systems did bring some very mild weather with them, though, which helped to end the

A nice Halloween weekend ahead

Issued: Monday, Oct. 26, 2015 · Covering: Oct. 28 – Nov. 4, 2015

Once again, the first part of last week’s forecast was reasonably accurate, then things fell apart a little during the second half, as the forecast low took a more southerly route. At this time of the year the big question on everyone’s mind is, when is winter going to show up? Well, the first couple


Cooler air keeps trying to move in

Issued: Monday, Oct. 19, 2015 · Covering: Oct. 21 – Oct. 28, 2015

It’s becoming more and more evident we are moving into the transition phase between fall and winter, as the weather models have a tougher time figuring out the forecast. The first part of last issue’s forecast was pretty good, but the timing of the systems then started to slip. This forecast period will begin with

Temporary cool-down next week?

Issued: Monday, July 13, 2015 – Covering: July 15 – July 22, 2015

Last week’s forecast didn’t play out exactly as the weather models predicted, but that was not unexpected with the slack flow across our region. For those living in the south, the smoke cleared out for the most part, a little earlier than expected, and a slow-moving upper low allowed very warm and humid air to


A slight chance of thunderstorms

Issued: Monday, July 6, 2015 – Covering: July 8 – July 15, 2015

Last week’s forecast played out pretty much as expected, with an area of low pressure pushing through a cold front, which brought a fairly wide outbreak of thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday. Cooler temperatures moved in to start this week, which brought some relief from the warm and humid conditions. A typical slack and muddled

The old weather pattern returns

Issued: Monday, June 29, 2015 – Covering: July 2 – July 8, 2015

Our overall weather pattern seems to have slipped back into the same general pattern that prevailed for much of the winter and spring. That pattern had a persistent ridge of high pressure over western North America and a trough of low pressure over eastern regions. We were stuck between these two main features and our