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Forecast: Light snow, but no big storms

Issued Feb. 1, 2016, covering the period from Feb. 3, 2016 to Feb. 10, 2016

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what was predicted. Last Wednesday’s Alberta clipper tracked a little farther south and packed a bit of a stronger punch than anticipated, while the weekend system was weaker than expected. These two systems did bring some very mild weather with them, though, which helped to end the month much like it began.

For this forecast period, it looks like we’ll see temperatures cool down a little bit, but the latest model runs keep the coldest air well to our north. If you’re wishing for significant snow — well, it looks like you’re going to have to keep on wishing. It looks like the battle between mild air to our west and southwest, and cold air to our north and northeast, will continue, at least for the next couple of weeks. This will keep any large storm systems well away from our region.

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weather map of CHUs

On Wednesday and Thursday, we’ll have weak high pressure in place along with a cool northwesterly flow, keeping temperatures right around average. Later in the week, we’ll see a secondary arctic high build southward, bringing slightly cooler air into our region on Friday. This high will quickly push off to the east as a large area of low pressure moves in from the Pacific and pushes southeastward. This system will bring a chance of light snow on Sunday or Monday, along with milder temperatures, as highs are expected to climb back up to around -5 C on Sunday before colder air begins to get pulled down behind this system on Monday.

Colder but near-average temperatures look like they will stick around for the first part of next week. Looking further ahead, the battle between mild Pacific high pressure to our west and cold arctic air will continue — and right now, I’m not sure which will win.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, -21 to -4 C; lows, -32 to -13 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.



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