Things are looking pretty quiet on the weather front over the next week or two as we slowly work our way into winter. After what appeared to be an early start to winter back in October, things have settled down a little bit, with most regions having only a little snow cover so far. With
Forecast: Mild weather with little precipitation ahead
Issued November 19, 2018: Covering the period from November 21 to November 28
Bad weather forecasts? Blame the leaky bucket
Spring and fall are always the most difficult seasons to forecast weather in as things change quickly
I think I need to begin this article with an apology for the fairly dismal forecasts that I’ve been making this past couple of weeks. It is at times like this that I really appreciate the fact that I don’t have to create a forecast every day — especially at this time of the year!
Forecast: A first taste of winter
Issued November 5, 2018: Covering the period from November 7 to November 14
Last week’s forecast did not play out very well. While high pressure did try to build in it wasn’t nearly as strong as expected. Combine this with the several areas of low pressure that were forecasted actually tracking by to our south, and we ended up with more clouds than sunshine. One bright spot was
A look at our backwards October – November weather
Mother Nature seemed a bit mixed up at the start of the month, but eventually figured it out
Well, what can we say about October’s weather across the Canadian Prairies? I guess if I had to quickly describe it, I would say it was a backwards month. The month of October started off like it was the middle of November, with cold temperatures and snow. A large portion of the Prairies reported measurable
Forecast: Seasonable weather start to November
Issued October 29, 2018: Covering the period from November 1 to November 6
Last week’s forecast played out pretty well, with only slight differences in the timing of the systems impacting the weather. For this forecast period, it looks like the fairly nice fall weather is going to continue, with temperatures fluctuating between slightly below average to a little above average. For those regions that are still needing
Just how does snow form?
There are a number of interesting things that happen with low-temperature precipitation
With an October that felt more like November and the type of questions I had to answer this past couple of weeks, I thought it might be a good time to revisit the topic of snow. It’s time we went back to weather school to look at the process that creates precipitation in cold clouds,
Forecast: Warm-cool weather cycle to persist
Issued October 22, 2018: Covering the period from October 24 to October 31
We definitely saw a return of warm and sunny weather this last forecast period. All the right conditions came together last Thursday to bring record-breaking temperatures across much of southern and central Manitoba. While the warm weather only lasted a day before cooler weather moved back in on Friday and Saturday, Sunday did see a
Is there still a chance for that last bit of summer?
A strong ridge of high pressure in mid- to late October could carry in some incredible weather
With a rather brutal and gloomy start to fall across the Prairies, and conditions often feeling more like winter than summer, I’ve begun to hear more people talk about the return of unseasonable heat that’s called St. Martin’s summer in the U.K., second summer and other terms now outdated in North America. Some of the
Forecast: Sunny and milder weather returning
Issued October 15, 2018: Covering the period from October 17 to October 24
For the first time in a while, the forecast played out pretty close to what was expected, and there is finally some hope on the horizon that we’ll see an end to the month-long period of cool, wet weather in which we’ve been stuck. For this forecast period, it looks as though we may actually
Is our October snowfall a predictor of winter?
In winters following October snows, the odds favour near- to above-average precipitation
With what seems to be an early attempt by winter at moving in, I am already beginning to hear people talking about just what this means for the upcoming winter. One of the biggest questions I hear is, “When are we going to get snow that will stay?” or, “I hear the normal time to