Looking back at last week’s weather outlook, it did a surprisingly good job, with the major features only being off by a day or so. We saw nice mild weather move in for the first part of the long weekend, before cooler air moved in late in the weekend and into the early part of
Forecast: Cool — or should I say cold — weather expected
Covering the period from October 14 to October 21
La Nina and the winter forecasts
Canada’s CanSIPS model still calls for a warmer-than-average October
Icannot believe another month has come and gone. Sometimes it seems like it was the longest month ever and other times it felt like one of the fastest. September’s weather kind of mirrored my feelings. Sometimes it seemed like fall was here to stay and at other times summer tried to make a comeback. The question is whether
Forecast: Let’s ride the temperature rollercoaster
Covering the period from October 7 to October 14
Well, we definitely saw the cold northwesterly flow develop last week that allowed cool arctic air to drop southeastward, bringing the first good blast of fall weather. At least we did not see any snow, or at least I did not hear about any. The weather models did a good job calling for that cooldown,
The Pacific Ocean’s impact on our weather
In a La Niña event, sea surface temperatures cool down in spots that are usually warm
In the last issue, I pointed out that La Niña conditions have developed across the Pacific Ocean and these conditions have sustained themselves for three months, meaning we are now into a La Niña period which is forecast to last through most, if not all, of the winter. Before we look to see how this
Forecast: Manitoba sliding into fall weather
Covering the period from September 30 to October 7
Last week’s forecast was pretty spot on for the first half, but things started to fall apart over the last few days. To give the weather models some credit, they stuck to their forecast of warm weather during the first half of the week for a long time before a last-minute switch, thanks to weaker-than-expected
When should we normally expect fall frost?
It’ll often take temperatures lower than -2.0 C to kill off most crops
It’s a little later than usual for me to talk about fall frost, as a good portion of agricultural Manitoba has already experienced some frost, but after receiving a few emails inquiring about this topic I felt there’s still time to touch on it. The first question I am usually asked about fall frost is
Forecast: Warm temps and a relatively dry spell ahead
Covering the period from September 23 to 30
Well, last week’s forecast was a little hit and miss. The cool high pressure that was forecast to be sitting to our north early in the forecast period dropped farther south than expected, bringing much cooler weather than expected. By the weekend, though, we did see the forecasted building ridge of high pressure that brought
Weather school: Rare and unusual clouds
Canada’s Northwest Passage is currently open, albeit with some patchy ice
In this article we will continue our study of clouds by looking at several additional terms that can be used to describe and help identify them, and we’ll also look at some rare or unusual cloud types. Before diving into this topic, I want to do a quick update on the state of Arctic sea
Forecast: Warm and relatively dry weather ahead
Covering the period from September 16 to 23
Overall, last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models had predicted with the cold start and then sunny and mild conditions late last week and over the weekend. For this forecast period it looks like the cold air will be kept to our north, but as we slowly move deeper into
And now, the early-winter outlook
The two almanacs’ forecasts for Manitoba’s August were closest to the mark
Climatological fall began on Sept. 1 and almost to the day, that is when our string of almost three months of above-average temperatures came to an end across Manitoba. So, as we head into fall, the questions are: 1) Just how nice was this past summer? and 2) What kind of weather should we expect