A return to cooler weather in May?

The CanSIPS model expects near- to above-average precipitation in May

Idon’t know about you, but being stuck at home working for a whole month actually made the month go by faster; seriously, it’s already May! That means it’s time for our look back at last month’s weather and our look ahead to see what the weather prognosticators say for the rest of May and June.

Forecast: Cool with a chance of rain, even snow

Covering the period from May 6 to May 13

Well, as it is starting to look and feel a little more like spring out there, I wish the latest forecast was as rosy looking as the last. During the last forecast period we saw warm air work in as expected, and several areas saw their first 20 C day of the year. The strong


Wind is one of the constant aspects of weather affecting just about everyone on Earth no matter where 
they live. 

Weather school: Gravity + pressure + Coriolis + friction = wind

Even within weather systems, there’s no getting away from the force of friction

As most students are struggling coming to terms with learning online, you readers are becoming experts. Last week in weather school we discussed the heating difference between land and water and were tying that into the overall energy balance of our planet. This energy balance, or rather, lack of balance, is what drives pretty much

Piecemeal approach to seeding begins in Manitoba

Manitoba Crop Report and Crop Weather report for May 5

Southwest region Repeated rain showers fell during the week in most of the region. Rainfall varied from 0.5 to 6.5 mm. Overnight temperatures fell below zero, while single-digit daytime highs were the norm. Average soil temperature is normal to below normal range at this time. Some areas are too wet and water is standing in


Forecast: Spring weather appears to have sprung

Covering the period from April 29 to May 6

If you haven’t been following my forecasts over the last several months you might not know that for some time now, my forecast deadline changed from three days before the paper is published, to six days. While three extra days ahead of time might not sound like a lot, it is. After reviewing the forecasts

Weather school: How Earth manages its energy input

How land and water are arranged on Earth greatly affect its weather

In our last weather class, we were looking at Earth’s greenhouse effect and how it keeps the planet warm enough for life as we know it to exist. That was a part of our general look at Earth’s energy balance. With that in mind, this week’s lesson looks at the difference between land and water and how they “manage” the


Flooding along the Rat River near La Rochelle.

‘Cautiously optimistic’ about flood prospect for Manitoba

Seasonally average weather should head off the worst of flooding along the Red River

Flooding along the Red River remains on track to hit at or below 2006 levels. “Everything is, at the present time, under control,” said Ralph Groening, reeve of the RM of Morris. Groening said he’s “cautiously optimistic” that they’ll see a relatively insignificant flood. At the end of March, the province’s flood outlook predicted that with average weather conditions,



Weather school: Why does it get warm?

Weather school: Why does it get warm?

A greenhouse is an inexact metaphor for how Earth absorbs and emits energy

Last time in weather school we looked at how heat moves around by examining conduction, convection, advection and latent heat transfer. This week in our weather lesson we’ll start to explore the Earth’s energy balance, or what’s often referred to as our energy budget. Before we can dive into that topic, however, we must first

Forecast: Weather stuck in a cold pattern

Covering the period from April 15 to April 22

We’ll begin this forecast with the same words I used in the last forecast. For those of us who are stuck working from home and practising social distancing, wishing we’d see some nice warm weather, I’m afraid we’re out of luck for this forecast period. The weather models have been in very good agreement that