A canola field in northwestern Saskatchewan on Oct. 5, 2016 after the area was blanketed by wet snow.  (Lisa Guenther photo)

Canadian wheat, canola crops seen weathering snow

Winnipeg | Reuters — Canada’s wheat and canola crops withstood wintry weather that stalled the autumn harvest, and production topped last year’s output, according to Reuters’ industry survey of 13 analysts and traders. Statistics Canada on Tuesday will issue its final crop production estimates for the 2016-17 marketing year. The industry expects, on average, all-wheat

Forecast: Stormy pattern trying to develop

Issued November 28, 2016 – Covering the period from November 30 to December 7, 2016

Once again the weather models got the general pattern correct, but as usual, the weather is in the details. Last week’s weather models showed another Colorado low developing and tracking south of us during the first half of the week. Fast-forward a few days and now that same Colorado low is expected to spin out


Forecast: Pattern expected to shift, but just slightly

Issued November 21, 2016 – Covering the period from November 23 to November 30, 2016

Last week’s forecast was a little bit of a bust. The forecasted storm system did form as expected, but by last Wednesday, the weather models had come to an agreement on a much more southerly path and that is what ended up happening. As a result, no significant snow fell across southern or central Manitoba

Forecast: Winter storm with shift in patterns?

Issued November 14, 2016 – Covering the period from November 16 to November 23, 2016

After a record-breaking warm first half of November, it’s looking more and more like we’ll see a shift in the overall weather pattern during this forecast period. The big question is whether or not this shift will be accompanied by the first big winter storm of the year. The weather models have been fairly consistent


Excess moisture issue for remaining canola

Excess moisture issue for remaining canola

Late season canola harvesting could mean difficulties for those trying to lower moisture levels

While most Manitoba canola growers already have their crops in the bin, some producers have been caught by late-season precipitation, including snow. “There is the odd field that is unharvested and most of those acres would be concentrated in the northern part of Manitoba — when we look farther south and east the vast majority

Forecast: Chances of rain beyond the weekend

Issued October 17, 2016 – Covering the period from October 19 to October 26, 2016

Not that this summer’s weather was very predictable, but fall and spring tend to be notorious periods for accurate forecasting. During these periods, the atmosphere is changing due to the rapid shift in incoming solar radiation (that is, sunlight). We saw this over the last forecast period, as a western low developed as expected, but



As the harvest window continues to shrink, getting remaining crops off the field before winter sets in is causing farmers to worry about poor prices due to lower quality.

Wet North America harvest adds pressure for farmers

Cropland is soaking wet as harvest time winds down

Manitoba farmers aren’t alone when it comes to grappling with a rainy harvest. North America’s wettest harvest in about five years is hiking farmers’ costs as they dry crops to avoid spoilage and forcing them to take price discounts that are pinching incomes already under stress. One-fifth of the United States and Canadian Crop Belts


Forecast: Plenty of cold and unsettled weather ahead

Issued April 4, 2016 – Covering the period from April 6 to April 13, 2016

Spring is always a tough time to forecast the weather as the battle between cold and warm air really heats up, but this forecast period is particularly tough. Once again we are stuck between a strong ridge of high pressure to our west, bringing record-breaking warmth to that region, and a large trough of low

winter wheat

Winter wheat acres survive winter, but down significantly

A mild winter and early melt hasn’t hurt the winter wheat crop, 
but competition from new varieties has hit acreage

The return of snow cover and colder weather have winter wheat growers heaving a sigh of relief — but they’re still uncertain about the long-term future of the crop. Ken Gross, Ducks Unlimited agronomist for the group’s winter wheat initiative, said a couple of weeks ago his phone was ringing off the hook as temperatures