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Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Milder weather with a chance for snow

Covering the period from December 16 to December 25, 2019

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As is fairly typical when we are in a pattern dominated by arctic high pressure, the timing of the system for last week’s forecast was off by a little bit. We definitely saw high pressure and cold air build in during the first half of last week’s forecast, but the Pacific low came in a
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Typical mid-December weather

Covering the period from December 9 to December 18, 2019

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Last week’s forecast got the big weather picture not too badly, but it was off on the timing. The cold air took a little longer than forecast to move in and ended up being a little colder than expected. As often is the case, when the general movement of weather systems slows down, we often
Cool, wet fall, warm, wet winter?
Other, Weather

Cool, wet fall, warm, wet winter?

The computer models predict near- to above-average temperatures in December

By
As fall comes to an end across the Prairies some locations have already seen winter come and stay, while other regions are still waiting for winter snowpack to develop. Once again it is bad timing for writing the monthly weather summary as there are still a couple of days left in November. Normally, I can
If we get 30 snowfall days during the winter, only about three of them will give us more than five cm of snow.
Weather

Gauging snowfall probabilities

A Winnipeg winter offers about a 90 per cent chance of 30 days in which some snow falls

By
Back in October, just after the big snowstorm, I discussed fall snowstorms. Well, it seems that the October snowstorm has brought on a flurry of questions (no pun intended!) about the probability of snow. So I figured this week we should take a deeper look into snowfall, a topic we’ve visited a couple of times
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Cooler weather on deck, but not cold

Covering the period from October 14 to 23, 2019

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Well, besides getting last week’s brief warm-up correct and the cold front that moved through last Wednesday, the weather models kind of missed the big storm system — or did they? If you remember back to last July, my deadline for the forecast changed from Monday (two days before you typically read this) to Friday (five days before
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm start, then cooler temperatures

Covering the period from October 8 to 16, 2019

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Overall, last week’s forecast was pretty spot on. There was a bit of a timing issue as this week rolled around, but for the most part I was impressed with the accuracy of the forecast. For this week’s forecast I am happy to say we will see at least a little bit of heat as
... 22 locations (last week) broke records for their warmest overnight lows, thanks, in part, to the unusually high humidity levels. – Daniel Bezte.
Other, Weather

Warm start, but does a cold end to winter lie ahead?

Several longer-range weather models call for above-average temperatures in November

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After enduring a short-lived but fairly intense early-fall heat wave across nearly all of Manitoba last week, maybe it is — or maybe it isn’t — an appropriate time to take our first in-depth look at the latest fall and winter forecasts for the Canadian Prairies. Before we dig into the long-range forecasts I think
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Typical late-summer August weather

Covering the period from August 19 to 28, 2019

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Well, last issue’s forecast wasn’t too far off. We did see some clouds and showers move through our region last Thursday and Friday, but most regions ended up seeing more sun than clouds instead of the other way around. This forecast period will begin with an area of low pressure slowly pulling off to our
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Not much rain expected

Issued August 92019: Covering the period from August 13 to 21

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To start off this issue’s forecast I have a little explaining to do. Those of you who regularly follow my forecasts know I create them on Monday morning, and you end up seeing it a couple of days later. Well, due to changes in publishing, my new deadline is now three days earlier: Friday morning.
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm long weekend, then a short cool-down early next week

Issued July 29, 2019: Covering the period from July 31 to August 7

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The first half of last week’s forecast played out as expected, but things deviated a little during the second half. The unsettled weather forecasted for the early part of this week consolidated into a stronger system that pushed through late last weekend. Because the system was stronger and pushed through all at once, we ended

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