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Precipitation can be hard to predict, but we're likely headed for a warmer-than-average summer.
Other, Weather

Warm May, cool spring, warm summer

Environment Canada sees above-average temperatures and near-average precipitation ahead

By
Another season has come and gone across the Prairies and the main weather question on most people’s minds is, “Just what type of weather will we see this summer?” I’ve always said, if someone could be 75 per cent or more accurate with long-range forecasts, he or she would be rich. Most of the companies
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Warm summer weather moves back in

Issued June 4, 2018: Covering the period from June 6 to 13, 2018

By
The early part of last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models predicted, but the second half kind of fell apart as a strong upper low took control of the weather over the weekend, bringing clouds, rain and cool temperatures. High pressure did build back in to begin the week, which
Other, Weather

What makes thunderstorms truly severe?

A storm in the middle of a warm air mass can’t get at the key ingredients for ‘severe’ status

By
As heat continues to build across the Prairies, the chances for thunderstorms have also increased. We began our look at thunderstorm fundamentals that lead to garden-variety thunderstorms, but while these types of thunderstorms are fun to watch, we all know how quickly they can turn into severe thunderstorms. A couple of weeks ago we talked
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Active summer pattern developing

Issued May 28, 2018: Covering the period from May 30 to June 6, 2018

By
As I pointed out in last week’s forecast, some areas would see rain while other areas might miss out, and this is exactly what happened. While some regions have seen the drought conditions come to an end, other areas continue to struggle with dry conditions. For this forecast period, it looks like we may just
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Hot, but with the chance of rain

Issued May 21, 2018: Covering the period from May 23 to May 30, 2018

By
My weather forecasts seem to be starting off the same every week now. Last week’s forecast was nearly bang on, except for a little more rain over eastern regions last Friday. For this forecast period, it is going to feel more like mid-summer rather than late spring. While the hot weather will not help those
thunderstorm weather
Other, Weather

Time to learn about thunderstorms

When conditions are in place, we have a watch; when storms happen, we have a warning

By
As spring begins to transition into summer, I like to revisit what I find to be one of the most interesting weather topics: thunderstorms. As temperatures begin to climb and moisture (hopefully) begins to flow northward, the ingredients come together to develop thunderstorms. So far this year we haven’t seen much thunderstorm activity, but as
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Above-average temperatures, little or no rain

Issued May 14, 2018: Covering the period from May 16 to May 23, 2018

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Last week again played out about as close to what was forecast as could be expected. The biggest issue with the forecast was the very cold overnight lows we saw late last week. Cold temperatures were predicted, but the extreme overnight lows were a result of very dry air along with very dry surface conditions
One grain on eroded land
Other, Weather

Is the ‘D’ word rearing its ugly head?

Agricultural Manitoba is going into seeding with below-average precipitation in the bank

By
After a dry to very dry winter and spring across agricultural Manitoba, there comes a time when we have to begin talking about the dreaded “D” word: drought. Looking up some definitions of drought, here is what I have found: In the most general sense, drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation over an extended
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: No significant rain expected

Issued May 7, 2018: Covering the period from May 9 to May 16, 2018

By
Overall, the weather models did a good job with last week’s forecast. There was a little more wind than expected (bad), but temperatures over the weekend and into the first part of this week were warmer than forecast (good). For this forecast period we’ll start with two areas of low pressure influencing our region. The
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

Forecast: Dry but less windy weather expected

Issued April 30, 2018: Covering the period from May 2 to May 9, 2018

By
Once again, the weather models have been doing a bang-up job with the forecast. The western low developed as predicted over the weekend and we definitely saw warm and windy weather move in — maybe a little too windy in some places. The only deviation from the forecast was the track of the western low

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