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Forecast: Dry but less windy weather expected

Issued April 30, 2018: Covering the period from May 2 to May 9, 2018

This map shows the total amount of precipitation that fell across the Prairies during the 30 days ending April 26. You can quickly see it has been very dry across much of the Prairies, with only the far western parts of Alberta seeing any significant precipitation.

Once again, the weather models have been doing a bang-up job with the forecast. The western low developed as predicted over the weekend and we definitely saw warm and windy weather move in — maybe a little too windy in some places. The only deviation from the forecast was the track of the western low as it moved eastward.

For this forecast period we’ll begin with sunny skies and near-average temperatures as a weak area of high pressure settles over the region. An area of low pressure is then forecast to track across northern Manitoba on Thursday, dragging a cold front southward. This front will bring a mixture of sun and clouds along with a few showers, as well as cooler temperatures late on Thursday and into early Friday. The best chance for showers will be in the Interlake.

Skies should clear out on Friday and we should see sunny to partly cloudy skies right through the weekend. Temperatures will be a little on the cool side as our flow will be out of the northwest. Expect daytime highs to start off in low to mid-teens, with overnight lows around the freezing mark. With high pressure in place, the strong spring sunshine will help to boost temperatures up toward the 20 C mark by Sunday. It also looks like winds will be light during this period, making it feel nice and warm.

The mild temperatures and sunny skies should continue into the first part of next week before the general flow across our region will become more westerly to southwesterly. It looks like we might see a bit more cloud on Tuesday and Wednesday as moisture begins to move northward ahead of a developing low over the American southwest.

Looking further ahead, the weather models show mild temperatures to continue with no real signs of significant rains.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, 9 to 23 C; lows, -2 to +8 C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.



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