Forecast: More showers, then sunny and dry

Forecast issued Monday, July 15, 2019 covering July 17-24, 2019

Once again, the weather models did a pretty good job with the forecast. The heat and humidity moved in last weekend as expected and we did see several rounds of thunderstorms move through on Sunday and Monday of last week. This forecast period will begin fairly unsettled as a broad area of low pressure tracks

Forecast: Seasonable with a chance of some rain

Issued May 20, 2019: Covering the period from May 22 to May 29

Surprisingly, last week’s forecast didn’t turn out too bad, considering all the differences between the weather models last weekend. Not sure what the better trade-off was: cool and dry, or cool and wet? From my observations, it seems like most of the planting has been done, and while there is OK soil moisture, things are


Forecast: Nice long-weekend weather expected

Issued August 27, 2018: Covering the period from August 20 to September 5

It looks like the transition from a summer to a fall weather pattern has begun. This was evident in last week’s forecast, which didn’t quite play out as expected. We did see a rather strong area of low pressure move through our region last weekend, but the forecast timing and track of the system was

Forecast: Warm weather looks set to continue

Forecast issued June 25, covering June 27 to July 4

Once again, the weather models did a good job predicting the weather over the last week. We did see warm/hot temperatures move in late last week and into the first half of the weekend. A number of places also experienced thundershowers and storms late Friday and Saturday afternoon, but as forecast, there just weren’t the


Forecast: A potential heat wave, again

Last week’s forecast began with a much-stronger-than-anticipated area of low pressure that brought some welcome rains to a good portion of southern and central Manitoba. The rest of the forecast played out fairly well, but once again, the forecast heat didn’t really materialize as the western ridge of high pressure is continually knocked down every

Forecast: Pattern expected to shift, but just slightly

Issued November 21, 2016 – Covering the period from November 23 to November 30, 2016

Last week’s forecast was a little bit of a bust. The forecasted storm system did form as expected, but by last Wednesday, the weather models had come to an agreement on a much more southerly path and that is what ended up happening. As a result, no significant snow fell across southern or central Manitoba


Forecast: Has the damp pattern finally come to an end?

Issued July 18, 2016 – Covering the period from July 20 to July 27, 2016

As predicted, last week our region experienced yet another large, strong area of low pressure that brought plenty of clouds, showers and thundershowers, along with cooler-than-average temperatures. The big question is whether this low was the last and will we finally see a switch in our weather pattern? The answer is maybe… just maybe. The

Unsettled weather and a look at precipitation across the Prairies

Issued: Monday, June 8, 2015 – Covering: June 10 – June 17, 2015

As we slowly transition into summer, forecasting the weather usually gets easier, but so far not this year. The overall pattern for the next week to 10 days looks like it will continue to be active, with two main low-pressure tracks setting up. The first is to our south, across the northern states; the second


Above-average temperatures should continue

Issued: Monday, Oct. 27, 2014 – Covering: Oct. 29 – Nov. 5, 2014

As usual for this time of the year, small changes in the way weather systems move can have a big impact on our weather. Last week’s forecast indicated an area of low pressure would develop to our west and bring nice mild conditions. Not surprisingly, this low now looks like it will take a more

Weather models point to a fall heat wave

Issued: Monday, Oct. 13, 2014 – Covering: Oct. 15 - Oct. 22, 2014

The long weekend turned out to be a little nicer than expected as the large Pacific low ended up staying off shore, with only a few pieces of energy moving through our region. Overall, the forecast for the next couple of weeks looks to be pretty good. Confidence is actually fairly high as the weather