Once again, the weather models did a good job predicting the weather over the last week. We did see warm/hot temperatures move in late last week and into the first half of the weekend. A number of places also experienced thundershowers and storms late Friday and Saturday afternoon, but as forecast, there just weren’t the right forcing mechanisms in place for any organized severe weather to develop.
For this forecast period it looks like we’ll see very typical early-summer weather, which means sun, clouds and warm temperatures, with occasional thundershowers and maybe even the odd thunderstorm.
I’m going to steal a line from a U.S. forecaster by saying that the best way to describe this forecast period would be a lack of high pressure. That said, it does not look like we will be dealing with any organized areas of low pressure either. Wednesday looks to be nice and sunny, with daytime highs in the mid-20s. We could see a bit more cloud on Thursday, as a weak low-pressure trough moves through.
On Friday and over the Canada Day long weekend, we will see two disorganized areas of low pressure track by just to our south. The first system will bring increasing clouds to southern regions on Friday, with areas near the border possibly seeing a thunderstorm. Saturday looks to be sunny and warm before a second area of low pressure pushes northeastward out of the Dakotas on Sunday. This second low looks like it will take a slightly more northerly route, meaning most areas south of the lake region will see more clouds than sun, with a chance of thundershowers.
For Monday and the early part of next week it looks like we will see partly cloudy skies with a few widely scattered showers or thundershowers, mainly in the late afternoon. This is thanks to a third area of low pressure that is forecast to develop over southern Saskatchewan and slowly meander into north-central Manitoba by the middle of the week. Expect temperatures to be warm, with daytime highs in the mid- to upper 20s and overnight lows in the mid-teens.
Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, 21 to 30 C; lows, 10 to 17 C.