Forecast: Has the damp pattern finally come to an end?

Issued July 18, 2016 – Covering the period from July 20 to July 27, 2016

As predicted, last week our region experienced yet another large, strong area of low pressure that brought plenty of clouds, showers and thundershowers, along with cooler-than-average temperatures. The big question is whether this low was the last and will we finally see a switch in our weather pattern? The answer is maybe… just maybe.

The main words for this forecast period look to be high pressure with plenty of sunshine along with fairly warm temperatures. This doesn’t mean we won’t have any chances of rain. To begin with there will be weak high pressure in place over our region with a stronger area of high pressure to our east. This will give us plenty of sunshine along with high temperatures in the low 30s. Late on Friday and into Saturday morning the weather models are showing an area of low pressure sliding through North Dakota. This low will bring a chance of thunderstorms to our region, with extreme southern regions having the best chance of rain.

We’ll see a bit of a cool-down behind this low on Saturday and Sunday with highs expected to be in the low 20s. Then high pressure will continue to build in and slowly slide to the east over the weekend and into early next week. This will bring mainly sunny skies and warming temperatures with highs expected to be back in the upper 20s or even the lower 30s by Tuesday.

The current weather models are showing a weak area of low pressure moving through southern and central regions on Wednesday, but confidence in this is very low. At most I would expect partly cloudy skies with the odd shower from this system.

Usual Temperature Range for this Period

Highs: 23 to 31 C Lows: 13 to 18 C

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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