Last week’s forecast quickly fell apart as two small but significant upper lows travelled across our region. The second of these upper lows moved through last Wednesday and brought with it some very cool temperatures. By Thursday morning temperatures in some localities dropped very close to the freezing point, giving us the first taste of
Forecast: Temperatures overall remaining warm
Issued August 28, 2017: Covering the period from August 30 to September 6
First glimpse at fall and winter weather outlook
July 2017 is reported to have been the warmest or nearly the warmest July on record
Here I am in beautiful Riding Mountain National Park in western Manitoba and after three days of camping I have yet to smack a single mosquito; how nice is that?! I am keeping my fingers crossed that the sky conditions will work out for the eclipse on Aug. 21, more for my son than me.
Forecast: Warm and dry to start; cooler next week?
Issued August 21, 2017: Covering the period from August 23 to August 30
Last week’s forecast — at least the first part — wasn’t too bad, but things kind of fell apart on Sunday and into the first part of this week. I had pointed out that confidence in that part of the forecast was low. The disappointing part for some people was the weak system that came
Forecast: Warm weather to build back in
Issued August 14, 2017: Covering the period from August 16 to August 23
Even though I had to create the forecast early last week I was still able to pull off a reasonably accurate one. I would love to take full credit for that, but sometimes you just get lucky. After all, I am just reading weather models and trying to pick which models are doing the best
A detailed look at Prairie heat and rainfall
It has been hot and dry across much of the region, but there’s variation within that trend
There have been more and more news stories coming out about the hot and dry conditions across the Prairies so far this summer, especially across Alberta and Saskatchewan. I figured we should take a little time to look at what has been happening weather-wise across the agricultural Prairies to see just what’s been going on.
Forecast: Slow warming trend expected
Issued August 4, 2017: Covering the period from August 9 to August 18
Last week’s forecast quickly fell apart, at least from the point of view of temperature, as the upper low that brought some much-needed rain to western regions also altered the upper-level flow. The upper low combined with the building ridge of high pressure over extreme western North America shifted our flow from west-northwesterly to more
Forecast: Models confident in high pressure
Issued July 31, 2017 – Covering the period from August 2 to August 9, 2017
With the exception of a few timing issues, last week’s forecast was pretty decent as high pressure dominated the picture, bringing with it the warmest weather of the summer. This forecast period looks to begin with a little break from the hot, muggy weather, though that break may be short lived as it appears likely
Forecast: High pressure set to dominate for the next few days
Issued July 24, 2017 – Covering the period from July 26 to August 2, 2017
So far this summer forecasting the weather has been tough, to say the least. We’ve basically been in a battle between a ridge of high pressure to our southwest and an active storm track to our north. Every time the weather models predict that the ridge of high pressure will win out, a storm system
Forecast: A potential heat wave, again
Last week’s forecast began with a much-stronger-than-anticipated area of low pressure that brought some welcome rains to a good portion of southern and central Manitoba. The rest of the forecast played out fairly well, but once again, the forecast heat didn’t really materialize as the western ridge of high pressure is continually knocked down every
Forecast: Warm, with scattered thunderstorms
Well, for once, our weather over the last forecast period played out fairly close to what the weather models were calling for and we didn’t get hijacked by an upper-level low. What didn’t pan out as forecast was the extreme heat that was expected to move in — at least, not yet. The weather models