Pattern trying to transition to winter

Issued: Monday, Nov. 3, 2014 – Covering: Nov. 5 – Nov. 12, 2014

Last week’s Arctic high built in as expected, but brought slightly cooler temperatures than expected, with overnight lows dropping into the minus teens late last week. The strong area of low pressure also developed to our west as predicted, but fortunately for us, it took a more northerly route and brought nice mild weather to

Above-average temperatures should continue

Issued: Monday, Oct. 27, 2014 – Covering: Oct. 29 – Nov. 5, 2014

As usual for this time of the year, small changes in the way weather systems move can have a big impact on our weather. Last week’s forecast indicated an area of low pressure would develop to our west and bring nice mild conditions. Not surprisingly, this low now looks like it will take a more


Mild October weather to continue

Issued: Monday, Oct. 20, 2014 – Covering: Oct. 22 - Oct. 29, 2014

This forecast period begins with a continuation of the warm, dry weather we’ve been seeing off and on now for nearly two weeks. This warm weather, which has been bringing temperatures a good 6 to 10 C above the long-term average, looks to continue for at least a few more days before more average late-October

Weather models point to a fall heat wave

Issued: Monday, Oct. 13, 2014 – Covering: Oct. 15 - Oct. 22, 2014

The long weekend turned out to be a little nicer than expected as the large Pacific low ended up staying off shore, with only a few pieces of energy moving through our region. Overall, the forecast for the next couple of weeks looks to be pretty good. Confidence is actually fairly high as the weather


Weather to bring a nice start for Thanksgiving long weekend

Issued: Monday, Oct. 6 – Covering: Oct. 8 - Oct. 15, 2014

As we begin to transition from fall to winter the weather can often behave unexpectedly, and we definitely saw this happen last week. Around this time last week the forecast called for a fairly strong area of low pressure to move northward out of the States, then move off to the northeast. Well, this low

Typical fall weather en route

Issued: Monday, Sept. 29, 2014 – Covering: Oct. 1 - 8, 2014

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what was expected. The warm air moved in by late in the week, bringing record temperatures to many areas, and the cold front came through a little earlier than expected, bringing with it a return to more seasonable values. This forecast period will begin with a fairly


Warm fall weather finally arrives

Issued: Monday, Sept. 22, 2014 – Covering: Sept. 24 - Oct. 1, 2014

It took a little longer than expected, as a secondary area of low pressure brought clouds and showers to most regions early last weekend, but a western upper ridge of high pressure is finally moving in, bringing with it much-anticipated warm, dry weather. This upper ridge will bring mainly sunny skies along with warm temperatures

This graph created by the University of Alabama in Huntsville, shows the monthly global lower troposphere temperature anomaly since 1978. The data used in this graph are gathered by advanced microwave sounding units on NOAA and NASA satellites and measures the temperature of the atmosphere from the surface up to an altitude of about eight kilometres above sea level. You can see that since about 2001 global temperatures have routinely been above average.

Nice fall weather moving in

Forecast issued Monday, Sept. 15 - Covering: Sept. 17 – Sept. 24, 2014

Last week’s forecast didn’t work out quite as expected. The strong arctic high did build southward, but it remained farther to the west than originally forecast, resulting in more cloud cover. While some areas did see some light frost late last week, the extra clouds kept most places a little warmer at night and a little cooler


How do we define a fall frost?

How do we define a fall frost?

Temperatures at thermometer level may vary from what's happening on the ground

Around the same time every year, if you are into agriculture at any level, thoughts start to turn to fall frost. Will it be earlier or later than average? I love overhearing weather conversations, because it often makes me realize I need to keep revisiting certain topics, and fall frost is one of them. When

The nice weather’s not over yet!

The first part of last week’s forecast played out pretty much as expected and we did end up seeing a pretty nice weekend. After that, the forecast fell apart as the expected area of low pressure was pushed well to our south and an unexpected strong area of arctic high pressure pushed southward as well.