Forecast: Spring is having trouble getting hold

Issued March 21, 2016 – Covering the period from March 23, 2016 to March 30, 2016

The expected changes in our weather pattern materialized last week with an extremely warm early-spring pattern being replaced by a more seasonal one. If the mild-cool pattern we’ve seen all winter persists, we can expect to see cooler conditions for the next couple of weeks before above-average temperatures move back in. This forecast period will

Forecast: Return to more average weather conditions

Issued March 14, 2016 – Covering the period from March 16, 2016 to March 23, 2016

Last week’s forecast called for temperatures to be “at or above” the usual temperature range for this time of the year as warm air spread into the region. Well, temperatures were definitely “above” the usual temperature range, with a large number of locations breaking records for daytime highs and even some overnight lows. It does


Forecast: An early shot of spring weather

Issued March 7, 2016 – Covering the period from March 9, 2016 to March 16, 2016

From a forecasting point of view, you can really tell we are starting to move into spring, as it’s this time of the year when weather models often have a hard time “figuring out” just what’s going on. We saw some of this with last week’s forecast as some areas cleared out and saw plenty

Forecast: Warming up by the weekend

Issued February 29, 2016 – Covering the period from March 2, 2016 to March 9, 2016

Last week’s forecast didn’t turn out exactly as forecast, but the cold air did finally arrive; it just took a couple of extra days to show up. As we’ve seen several times this winter, warm Pacific air won out over colder arctic air, at least for a little while. The main systems developed as expected


Forecast: Still a little early to think of spring

Issued Feb. 22, 2016, covering the period from Feb. 24, 2016 to Mar. 2, 2016

The start of my forecasts is beginning to sound a bit like a broken record. It doesn’t look like the current weather pattern we’ve been in for the last month or so is going to change any time soon. If you think winter has come to an early end and spring is ready to move

Forecast: Overall pattern remains the same

Issued Feb. 15, 2016, covering the period from Feb. 17, 2016 to Feb. 24, 2016

It doesn’t look like the weather pattern we’ve been in for the last month or so is going to change any time soon. Here is the big picture of what is going on. To our west, there has been a fairly persistent area of low pressure off the coast that has been drifting north and


Forecast: Little change expected in overall pattern

Issued Feb. 8, 2016, covering the period from Feb. 10, 2016 to Feb. 17, 2016

The battle between cold air to our northeast and milder air to our west and south will continue, with the overall pattern staying the same — but as they say, the devil is in the details. Take last weekend’s area of low pressure. The models had predicted this low, but it ended up a little

Forecast: Light snow, but no big storms

Issued Feb. 1, 2016, covering the period from Feb. 3, 2016 to Feb. 10, 2016

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what was predicted. Last Wednesday’s Alberta clipper tracked a little farther south and packed a bit of a stronger punch than anticipated, while the weekend system was weaker than expected. These two systems did bring some very mild weather with them, though, which helped to end the


Global and regional temperature anomalies

Globally, 2015 was the warmest year, 
at 0.9 C above the 20th-century average

In my previous article, I finished by saying I would hopefully be able to continue our look back at 2015 by exploring some of the top weather stories from our part of the world. Between then and now, both NOAA and NASA released their 2015 global temperature data and I figured we should spend some

Forecast: A couple of chances for light snow

Issued Jan. 25, 2016, covering the period from Jan. 27, 2016 to Feb. 3, 2016

Sometimes it just takes a few small changes to totally alter a forecast and this is what happened last week. The Alberta clipper came through a little earlier and quicker than expected, with only a weak push of arctic high pressure sliding in behind it. The best part is that this allowed our temperatures to