Forecast: Cold weather moving in for Christmas

Issued December 18, 2017: Covering the period from December 20 to December 27

The predicted switch in our weather pattern began to materialize over the last forecast period as the West Coast ridge began to break down. Over this forecast period it’s looking like we’ll begin to feel the effects of the switch as colder air builds into the region. To start off this forecast period, there will

Forecast: Seasonably mild with a chance of snow

Issued December 11, 2017: Covering the period from December 13 to December 20

The weather models continue to struggle with the finer details of the overall weather pattern. Take last week’s forecast: the weather models were able to correctly predict the development of the West Coast ridge along with the broad trough of low pressure across the eastern half of North America; what they struggled with was the


Forecast: Seasonably cold and dry weather ahead

Issued December 4, 2017: Covering the period from December 6 to December 13

If you have been regularly checking out the weather models over the last couple of weeks you would have noticed they have been having a hard time nailing things down. One model run shows a large storm system, then 12 hours later the next model run has no storm system at all; two days later

Forecast: Mild weather to continue

Issued November 27, 2017: Covering the period from November 29 to December 6

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models predicted, with the exception of the possible major winter storm that the models were hinting at for late this week. It seems, according to the weather models, that we are heading into a fairly quiet weather pattern over the next week or two,


Forecast: Chance of major winter storm?

Issued November 20, 2017: Covering the period from November 24 to November 30

It looks like we’ve settled into an early winter pattern that has seen a dominant area of high pressure over western North America and a trough of low pressure over eastern North America. Under this pattern we have seen the main storm track cutting across north-central Canada, placing much of southern and central Manitoba into

La Niña developing in time for winter

Just how powerful the weather phenomenon will be this season is still up in the air

I must begin with a bit of an apology. I had promised that we would be looking at trends in overnight temperatures across the Prairies this week, but we will not be able to cover it this time around. As I was working on the final crunching of the data I realized that I had


Forecast: Winter here to stay?

Issued November 6, 2017: Covering the period from November 8 to November 15

Last week’s forecast played out close to what the weather models predicted. The main difference was that last weekend’s low moved through southern and central regions a day earlier than expected. It also wasn’t able to tap into as much warm air as originally anticipated, resulting in the first widespread significant snowfall of the season.

Forecast: Back to more typical weather

Issued October30, 2017: Covering the period from November 1 to November 8

It’s looking more and more like winter is moving in early this year. Last year, at this time, we were looking at several weeks of warm record-breaking temperatures; this year, while not record-breaking cold, it looks to be much more like winter. Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what was expected, with the


Forecast: A return to seasonable weather

Issued October 23, 2017: Covering the period from October 25 to November 1

After a week of unusual fall weather across our region, this forecast period looks to be a little more seasonable. Luckily for us, in last week’s forecast the colder air that was to move in late last weekend didn’t really materialize, and warmer-than-expected temperatures carried over into the first half of this week. The main

Forecast: Seasonably warm start, then snow?

Issued October 16, 2017: Covering the period from October 18 to October 25

Last week’s forecast played out fairly close to what the weather models predicted. While it did miss out on the Saturday morning snowfall that hit parts of south-central regions, it did catch the weekend cool-down and the warm-up that started this week. For this forecast period, it looks like mild weather will continue to dominate