Issued: Monday, January 26, 2009 Covering: January 28 –February 4

The weather page is prepared by Daniel Bezte. Dan has a BA Honours degree in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He has taught climate and weather classes at the U of W, and is a guest climate expert on CJOB’s morning show with Larry Updike. Daniel runs a computerized weather station on his 10 acres near Birds Hill Park, which he plans to develop into a small vegetable and fruit hobby farm.

Daniel welcomes questions and comments at [email protected]

While the weather models have not been in perfect agreement over the last few days, they do seem to be leaning toward milder weather moving in. The main difference between the models is, just how mild will it get?

The milder weather will begin its move on Wednesday as an area of low pressure tracks through central and southern portions of Manitoba. This low looks like it will only bring a slight chance of snow, mainly to central regions. Once this low passes by, we will see a weak push of cooler air on Thursday, but this looks to be very short-lived as another much stronger area of low pressure begins to push eastward over the northern Prairies.

Western areas could see temperatures rise to near zero on Friday but I think it will take until Saturday before most areas see this really mild air. Most of the precipitation with this system should stay well to our north, but as the warm front pushes through on Friday and Saturday, we could see some light snow or freezing drizzle.

By Sunday this low will be to our east and we move into a northerly flow. Temperatures will cool down a little bit, with highs dropping to around -10C. The forecast for the beginning of next week is a little more uncertain. Some of the models show a quick return to mild temperatures, while other models show a small but strong area of arctic high pressure pushing southward.

Given the weather we have been experiencing so far this winter I’m going to learn toward the colder scenario, which would give us highs around -10 to -15C and lows in the low -20s for the first three days of next week.

Usual temperature range for this period: Highs: -22 to -5C. Lows: -33 to -15C.

About the author

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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