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Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

El Niño and chaos theory

Will Western Canada have the textbook warm and dry El Niño winter?

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El Niño can affect the kind of weather we might expect this winter. The formation and movement of one system can impact how other systems behave around the world. This is called teleconnection, which refers to the long-distance relationships or connections between climate events that occur in different parts of the world. This fundamental concept
A durum wheat crop near Acadia Valley, Alta., stands shorter than normal and produced fewer kernels than normal due to dry conditions.
News

High pasta prices set to boil over as Canada’s wheat withers

Drought in Prairie durum-growing region adds to global supply woes

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Reuters – Pasta lovers must brace to pay higher prices for their favourite dish, as drought in Canada and bad weather in Europe damages durum wheat crops and reduces supplies available to flour millers and food companies. Italy’s government called a crisis meeting in May as prices for the staple food jumped by more than double the national inflation
This graphic shows a textbook example of the expected weather impacts across North America during an El Niño winter. Across the Prairies, El Niño can often mean warmer than average winters – but not always.
Other, Weather

Understanding El Niño and La Niña

Meteorology 101: All that extra energy stored in the Pacific has to go somewhere

By
We are into an El Niño period and there is high probability it will continue through the winter. After receiving a few questions, I decided to re-examine the topic and tie it into our meteorology 101 classes. What is El Niño, and why can it have such a profound impact on our weather? Simply put,
An initial swath in a canola crop north of St. Adolphe, Man. on Sept. 17, 2023. (Dave Bedard photo)
Weather

Prairie Forecast: Warm fall weather to continue

Issued Sept. 20, covering Sept. 20-27

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Even with some uncertainty in the last forecast, the weather models did a surprisingly good job. At one point it looked like I was going to have to send out an update as the models started trending toward a cooler pattern, but they quickly reversed back to a warm pattern. This brought the expected heat
The U.S. National Hurricane Center’s forecast cone for the storm centre of Hurricane Lee, issued at 2 p.m. AT on Sept. 15, 2023. (NHC/USA Today Network via Reuters)
Weather

Hurricane Lee churns toward New England, Eastern Canada

Nova Scotia may see storm surge up to three feet

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Reuters — Hurricane Lee barreled across the North Atlantic toward New England and Eastern Canada on Friday, threatening to bring drenching rains, powerful winds and a life-threatening storm surge to the region over the weekend. Lee is expected to weaken into a strong tropical storm before making landfall in southwestern Nova Scotia as a strong
Wrecked structures float in the water in the aftermath of Hurricane Fiona at Rose Blanche, N.L., about 45 km east of Port aux Basques, on Sept. 25, 2022. (Photo: Reuters/John Morris)
Comment, News & Opinion, Opinion

Cropping with wonky weather

It’s time to start farming in a way that can absorb weather curve balls

By
A farmer friend challenged me about what he considered alarming statements related to climate change. He sighed and said “a temperature bump of 1.5 C probably won’t bother me.” There is a difference between climate and weather. For example, the climate in July 2023 was 1.5 C higher on average than pre-industrial (before 1850) average
Water flows through a washed-out culvert on the CN rail mainline at Truro, N.S. on July 23, 2023. (Photo: Nigel Gloade/Millbrook First Nations/Handout via Reuters)
Weather

Nova Scotia farmers granted late AgriStability entry

Enrolment for 2023 now an option until Dec. 31, 2024

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Nova Scotia farmers who aren’t in on AgriStability for 2023 and whose operations were hit hard by weather events this spring and/or summer now have until the end of next year to enroll. The Nova Scotia and federal governments on Friday announced enrolment for the ag income stabilization program, which ended on April 30, has
Extreme weather events are increasingly commonly being blamed on climate change, but how much of that is real, and how much is hot air?
News, Weather

Pummelled by hail: The onslaught of erratic weather is real

Extreme weather events are increasingly commonly being blamed on climate change, but how much of that is real, and how much is hot air?

By
If farmers think the weather was erratic this year, data says they’re right. Earlier this summer, the Co-operator reported that farmers in the Rivers area were pummeled with near-apocalyptic hail. Weeks later, they’d been hit again. At the time, hail claims in Manitoba had already exceeded the total number of claims last year. Why it
Winnipeg, Sept. 7, 2023. (Dave Bedard photo)
Weather

Prairie Forecast: Summer trying to hang on

Issued Sept. 6, covering Sept. 6 to 13

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The weather models seem to be in good agreement for this forecast period, with no strong storm systems expected to impact the Prairies, making for a fairly high-confidence forecast. This forecast period will start off with a generally west to southwesterly flow across the Prairies. A broad but weak area of low pressure is expected

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