Forecast: Arctic air continues to dominate

Issued February 4, 2019: Covering the period from February 6 to 13

Last week’s forecast wasn’t as far off as it seemed. The cold air was a little colder than forecast, a little more snow fell across central regions last Saturday, and the southern low tracked a little farther north than forecast on Sunday, bringing a fairly good dump of fluffy snow. For this forecast period, it

Forecast: Are we nearing the end of the brutally cold weather?

Issued January 28, 2018: Covering the period from January 30 to February 6

As forecasts go, last week’s played out about as good as it can get, which is unfortunate, unless you like it cold, really cold! If you do, then you will love this week’s forecast; if not, then it looks like you’ll have to wait a little longer before more seasonable temperatures are forecast to move


Forecast: A couple of weeks of cold weather ahead

Issued January 21, 2018: Covering the period from January 23 to January 30

As forecast, cold and sunny conditions moved in last week and, as predicted, the coldest weather occurred over the weekend, with many locations across southern and central Manitoba seeing overnight lows in the -35 to -40 C range — temperatures not seen since the winter of 2014, all thanks to the infamous polar vortex. It

Forecast: Solid week of cold weather ahead

Issued January 14, 2018: Covering the period from January 16 to January 23

The first part of last week’s forecast played out pretty much as expected, but things fell apart a little bit toward the end of the forecast period. The expected ridge of high pressure did build to our west, and we did see mild air move in over the weekend, just not to the initial extent


Forecast: Warm mid-winter weather ahead

Issued January 7, 2018: Covering the period from January 10 to January 17

After a snowy start to this week it looks like our old pattern of dry and seasonable weather will move back in for the remainder of this forecast period. It’s always tough to create a forecast when a major weather event is unfolding (I must write the forecasts late Sunday or early Monday morning), as

A quick look back at global weather in 2018

We’re looking at a 90 per cent chance of a weak El Niño through this winter

To wrap up last year’s weather articles, I thought I would do a quick look back at how the globe fared, weather-wise, during 2018. To start, let’s look back at November: according to both NOAA and NASA, it was the fifth warmest on record with the only warmer months coming in 2015, 2013, 2010 and


Forecast: More seasonable temperatures expected

Issued December 17, 2018: Covering the period from December 19 to December 30

The only issue with last week’s forecast was underestimating the magnitude of the warm air last Friday and Saturday, as temperatures in most locations across southern and central Manitoba managed to rise several degrees above 0 C. Of particular interest was just how warm some of the overnight lows were, with temperatures actually rising overnight

Forecast: Above-average temperatures expected

Issued December 10, 2018: Covering the period from December 12 to December 19

After seeing one cold day last Thursday into Friday, the expected mild Pacific air moved in over the weekend, bringing a return to seasonable temperatures. A few areas were able to see the really mild air mix down on Sunday, which allowed temperatures to rise above the freezing mark. It looks like these mild temperatures


Forecast: Cool start, warm end to forecast

Issued December 3, 2018: Covering the period from December 3 to December 10

Last week’s forecast played out fairly well, with the exception of Thursday’s snowfall. The area of low pressure was forecast to bring a little bit of snow, but it ended up taking a more southerly route and dropped more snow than expected. It wasn’t any bigger or stronger than forecast; it just brought a bit

Forecast: Our blah weather pattern continues

Issued November 26, 2018: Covering the period from November 28 to December 5

As far as weather forecasts have turned out lately, last week’s forecast wasn’t too far off. We did see some milder weather move in late last week and there were a few flurries over the weekend. What didn’t turn out as well were the temperatures, as slightly cooler-than-forecast air moved in over the weekend and