Forecast: Spring weather appears to have sprung

Covering the period from April 29 to May 6

If you haven’t been following my forecasts over the last several months you might not know that for some time now, my forecast deadline changed from three days before the paper is published, to six days. While three extra days ahead of time might not sound like a lot, it is. After reviewing the forecasts



Forecast: Weather stuck in a cold pattern

Covering the period from April 15 to April 22

We’ll begin this forecast with the same words I used in the last forecast. For those of us who are stuck working from home and practising social distancing, wishing we’d see some nice warm weather, I’m afraid we’re out of luck for this forecast period. The weather models have been in very good agreement that

Forecast: More sun than clouds, but cool

Covering the period from April 8 to April 15

If you recall last week’s forecast, I didn’t have a lot of confidence in the weather models, but as it turned out, they did a fairly good job. The one thing they missed out on was the intensity of the snow with the storm system that brought a widespread 10 to 20 cm of snow


Forecast: Winter doesn’t want to leave

Covering the period from April 1 to April 8

If I’ve said it once, I have said it at least a hundred times: Forecasting the weather at this time of the year is hard. If you have been following the weather models over the last couple of weeks you would know what I mean. One day they forecast a big warm-up and next a

Forecast: Spring weather slow to move in

Covering the period from March 25 to April 1

Well, my last forecast was not too bad — a little optimistic on temperatures, maybe, but the overall pattern was handled pretty well by the weather models. The main reason is that we seem to be stuck in this particular weather pattern, so until something big comes along to change it, expect more of the


Forecast: Colder-than-average temperatures expected

Covering the period from March 18 to March 25

For those of you who regularly read my forecasts, you will know I hate to write forecasts in the spring and fall — but especially in the spring. The yearly fight between cold and warm air in the spring often makes it difficult to accurately predict the weather beyond about five days. Since I write

Forecast: One final shot of arctic air ahead?

Covering the period from March 11 to March 18

As expected, we did see an active storm track during the last forecast period, and as often happens, the weather models struggled. The biggest issue the weather models seem to have is with the intensity of the cold air. The models keep trying to drop in some fairly cold air, but so far, we have


Forecast: Storm track setting up to our north

Covering the period from March 4 to March 11

Last issue’s forecast did an OK job. It captured the overall pattern, but was a little off regarding temperatures and overpredicted the amount of snow with a weak area of low pressure. This forecast period looks like it will be an interesting one. Weather models show the main storm track setting up across the central

Forecast: Winter and spring battling it out

Covering the period from February 26 to March 4

For the first time in a while, last issue’s forecast played out pretty much as the weather models predicted. Mild air moved in last weekend and was followed by a shot of colder air during the middle part of this week. For this forecast period, it looks like we will start off with an area