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Fading U.S. soybean exports threaten to expand stockpiles
Comment, Markets

Fading U.S. soybean exports threaten to expand stockpiles

There’s little sign China will be an enthusiastic buyer in the coming months

By
Reuters – It might take some extraordinary circumstances for U.S. soybean shipments to approach the government’s full-year target. Without an extended turnaround in export demand, U.S. soybean stockpiles could swell to the second-highest levels on record by September. China is likely the only country that could provide the needed lift to U.S. soybeans, but given
World soybean stocks to swell
Markets, News

World soybean stocks to swell

Revision comes as Brazil, Argentina harvest prospects rise

By
Global soybean supplies will be bigger than previously forecast due to increased harvest expectations in Brazil and Argentina, the U.S. government said March 10. World soybean ending stocks for the 2019-20 marketing year were pegged at 102.44 million tonnes, according to the U.S. Agriculture Department’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report. That compares with
Argentina’s main corn, soy areas getting adequate rains
Markets, News

Argentina’s main corn, soy areas getting adequate rains

By
Reuters – Rains have been ample in key parts of Argentina’s breadbasket province of Buenos Aires, but they have been uneven and raised concern about crop yields in some isolated areas, a grower and climatologist said Feb. 3. The South American grains powerhouse is a major source of corn and soybean exports and Argentina’s top
ICE canola futures remain rangebound
Grain Markets, Markets

ICE canola futures remain rangebound

Talk of more trade talks supports Chicago futures

By
The ICE Futures canola market flatlined during the second week of November, trading within a rather narrow sideways range and showing little incentive to break one way or the other. The steady tone came despite a sizable drop in Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soyoil prices, as world vegoil markets backed off nearby highs. Soyoil
Watch agricultural commodity markets for seasonal patterns
Markets

Watch agricultural commodity markets for seasonal patterns

Taking advantage of these trends to your benefit is both an art and science

By
Seasonality in farm commodity prices is a commonly followed market indicator and it makes some sense. Given crops are planted in the spring, subject to weather throughout the growing season and then harvested in the fall, they follow a natural pattern throughout the calendar year. But the more important question is: can you profit from
Canadian canola started the spring off dry, but has seen some beneficial moisture in many areas since.
Grain Markets, Markets

Weather supportive for canola crops, albeit not for prices

Uncertainty also continues over U.S. soybean acreage

By
ICE canola futures fell hard during the week ended July 5, hitting fresh contract lows in the process as improving North American weather conditions weighed on prices and bearish technical signals had speculators adding to their short positions. The canola market was closed Monday for Canada Day while the Chicago futures market was closed on
Canola falls to new lows
Grain Markets, Markets

Canola falls to new lows

Bearish charts and uncertainty over the Chinese market are weighing in

By
ICE canola futures fell to fresh contract lows during the holiday-shortened week ended April 18, as bearish chart signals weighed on values and the trade dispute between Canada and China showed no signs of improving. Heavy spread trade during the week saw traders roll out of the May contract and into July, which now holds
North American grain and oilseed markets are also keeping an eye on seeding weather as attention turns to the 2019-20 crop.

Grain Markets, Markets

Canola may be vulnerable if CBOT soybeans decline

China’s block on canola is already baked into the market

By
ICE Futures canola contracts held reasonably steady during the week ended April 5, hovering above major long-term lows as traders contemplated the lack of Chinese demand and what the trade dispute means going forward. The bearish influence of China shuttering its doors to Canadian canola has been generally factored into the market, with lows possibly
Domestic canola crush levels are running at a steady pace, but exports are lagging due to tensions with China.
Grain Markets, Markets

ICE canola finds support at low end of long-term range

World wheat carry-out is expected down from 2017-18 size

By
ICE canola futures fell to fresh contract lows during the week ended Feb. 22, but did manage to find some support to the downside as values eventually consolidated near the bottom edge of their long-term trading range. The focus in the futures has shifted from the March contract to the May, with intermonth spreading a

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