Forecast: Still waiting for warm weather

Forecast issued March 11, 2022, covering the period from March 16 to 23, 2022

Last issue’s weather forecast — or rather, weather outlook — turned out pretty good. We saw colder-than-average temperatures for the most part and we saw a parade of Alberta clippers that brought clouds and occasional light and blowing snow every couple of days. The clippers were not as strong as we saw back in February



Weather: A little less uncertainty ahead

FORECAST | Issued Dec. 3, 2021, covering the period from Dec. 8 to 15, 2021

I warned you that last week’s forecast held a lot of uncertainty, and while we didn’t see any wild swings in the weather from what the weather models were forecasting, the forecast seemed to change almost daily, and my forecast was pretty much totally invalid within a couple of days of writing it — frustrating!

Weather: Watch for warming trend late in this period

Forecast issued April 30, 2021, covering the period from May 5 to 12, 2021

Well, the last forecast period was definitely a temperature roller coaster, or maybe temperature yo-yo might be a better description: 20 C one day, then struggling to make it to +5 C the next. That’s spring for you! Overall, last issue’s forecast was pretty good, but as usual, the timing of systems drifted the further


Forecast: Seasonable with a chance of snow

Forecast: Seasonable with a chance of snow

Forecast issued Nov. 13, 2020, covering the period from Nov. 18 to 25, 2020

Forecast issued Nov. 13, 2020, covering the period from Nov. 18 to 25, 2020

Due to a missed deadline last week (life got a little away from me) I can’t really discuss how good or bad the forecast was (it was really good, trust me). For this forecast period, overall confidence is not that high, which is not that unusual for this time of the year. As the atmosphere

Forecast: Seasonable with a chance of snow

Forecast issued Nov. 6, 2020, covering the period from Nov. 11 to 18, 2020

Once again, last week’s forecast did a pretty good job with the major weather features. We saw a nice warmup last week with a few locations breaking record highs last Tuesday and Wednesday. Then the weather models predicted a storm system over the weekend, and as I write this on Friday, it looks like that


Forecast: Near-freezing temperatures not that far off

Forecast issued Aug. 28, covering the period from Sept. 2 to 9

Interestingly, even though there was not a lot of confidence in much of last week’s forecast, it was the lower-confidence second half of the forecast that ended up being the most accurate. This means it looks like we are in for a period of cool weather after nearly three months of above-average conditions. Looking at

Weather school: How are clouds formed?

COLLISIONS Clouds appear when atmospheric moisture condenses as droplets big enough to be visible

Last week we talked about how clouds are classified, then I said we would continue our look at clouds by examining each of the different cloud types in a little more detail, discussing just what type of weather we could normally expect with each type of cloud. We are still going to do that, but


Bezte: Cool summer, cool fall?

Bezte: Cool summer, cool fall?

Another month has come and gone and in the weather world, summer is slowly coming to an end. That means it’s time to take a look back at the weather over the past month and to summarize what the three key summer months brought us, weather-wise, across the Prairies. Then, as usual, we’ll take our

Forecast: Warming up and drying out

Last week’s forecast turned out not too bad considering the extra lead time. Even the short-term forecasts struggled with the cool air late last week and while the first low didn’t kick northwards last Friday, the main low was still forecasted to bring significant rainfall chances to most of southern and central Manitoba last weekend