Snowbound farmers’ reduced sales drag on canola values

Unfounded intel suggesting a breakthrough on the canola ban was briefly supportive

Cold spring temperatures and a late snowstorm depressed canola markets during the week ended April 3. While nearby contract prices started the week with relative strength, that petered out by midweek when an impressive amount of snow fell in eastern Saskatchewan and western Manitoba. That, combined with cold temperatures, discouraged some farmer selling and sidelined some trading activity. Earlier in the week,

ICE Futures March 2020 canola with 20- and 50-day moving averages. (Barchart)

High stocks-to-use ratio weighs on canola

MarketsFarm — The Canadian canola stocks-to-use ratio was over 20 per cent at the end of 2019 — significantly higher than the five-year average of 13.4 per cent. “That’s part of the reason why we’re seeing downward pressure on canola prices,” Craig Klemmer, chief agriculture economist for Farm Credit Canada (FCC), explained during his presentation



Canola production on the Prairies takes a weather hit

Canola production on the Prairies takes a weather hit

But that effect on production may have already been digested by the market

Poor harvest weather definitely cut into the size and quality of this year’s Canadian canola crop, with a large percentage still in the fields heading into the end of October. However, that supportive supply-side story may be factored into the futures for the time being, with the market now in need of some fresh demand


Photo: iStock

ICE weekly outlook: Canola bids return to being range-bound

MarketsFarm – Until the New Year expect canola bids to remain range-bound much like it was during the summer, according to one Winnipeg-based analyst. “Canola going C$10 lower isn’t out of the question,” commented David Derwin, commodity portfolio manager with PI Financial. Below normal temperatures on the Prairies coupled with rain and snow have provided

ICE November 2019 canola with Bollinger (20,2) bands. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola values stay rangebound

MarketsFarm — One canola trader wouldn’t go so far as to calling the canola market lifeless, but it has remained rangebound for most of the week. That’s mainly due to pressure from harvest activity, which has carried on at an impressive pace on the Canadian Prairies despite being mired with difficult weather conditions. “I’ve talked


ICE January 2020 canola (candlesticks) and CBOT January 2020 soybeans (yellow line). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola values stay rangebound

MarketsFarm — Canola prices have been characterized as “firm one day and softer the next,” this week, remaining largely rangebound in light trading activity. “It’s hard to tell why, but canola oscillates between stronger than soybeans and then weaker,” said Ken Ball of P.I. Financial in Winnipeg. “It’s just spreaders playing back and forth with