Summer trying to take hold

The active weather pattern we’ve been in for the last week or so looks as if it will continue for most of this forecast period. This makes it tough to forecast, as the weather models are struggling to come to an agreement on the timing, intensity and track of several different storm systems. A large

Monitoring thunderstorm movement

Storms can strengthen or weaken as they move. Use online and visual tools to track their movements


In the last issue we continued our look at thunderstorms and severe summer weather by examining the direction thunderstorms move. In this issue we’ll learn how to determine the strength of a thunderstorm. Pretty much any storm can produce severe weather. If there are severe thunderstorm watches or warnings out, and you see a storm


Hit-and-miss long weekend

Last week’s forecast turned out to be fairly accurate; the only thing that was off was the amount of warming we saw on Sunday and Monday. The first half of this forecast period will be controlled by a large area of low pressure that will develop to our west. While the weather models have been

Flooding: The rule or the exception?

You may find yourself feeling a little unsettled with the absence of major flooding this spring. Could this be a sign that we expect floods in the Red River basin to be more rule than exception? If one looks at the last century or two, it appears that flooding has been the rule in the


Fury over new flood peg

The province’s apparent decision to make 2011 Lake Manitoba flood levels the new standard has raised the ire of area ranchers and municipal officials. “It’s fine for Mr. Topping to hope that we will raise our cottages and homes up to levels that would be safe in another flood. But we can’t raise the farm-

Masking thunderstorm movement

As summer slowly works its way back into our region, it’s time to pick up where we left off in our discussion of severe summer weather. In this article we’ll look at how we can predict which direction a thunderstorm might be moving. Trying to figure out just how intense a thunderstorm will be and


Expect some fairly typical spring weather

The forecast for the start of this week was initially showing a large western low staying to our south. This didn’t pan out as the models indicated. Instead, the western low tracked right through southern Manitoba, bringing clouds, showers and cooler temperatures. By the middle of this week high pressure should be back in charge,

Above-average warmth continues

In our last issue we began our annual look at severe summer weather and I did indicate we would continue on that theme in this issue. What I forgot was that another month was coming to an end, which means it’s time for our look back at April’s weather, then our look ahead to see


Sea change in salinity heralds shift in rainfall

Singapore/Reuters — Scientists have detected a clear change in salinity of the world’s oceans and have found that the cycle that drives rainfall and evaporation has intensified more than thought because of global warming. The finding published April 20 helps refine estimates of how different parts of the globe will be affected by increased rainfall

Last week’s forecast didn’t quite play out as expected, but it was close. The big thing that affected the forecast was the positioning of the area of high pressure that slid down from the Arctic. Instead of moving directly over Manitoba it shifted to the east by a few hundred kilometres. This allowed the western