Forecast: Mild weather to continue

Issued November 27, 2017: Covering the period from November 29 to December 6

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models predicted, with the exception of the possible major winter storm that the models were hinting at for late this week. It seems, according to the weather models, that we are heading into a fairly quiet weather pattern over the next week or two,

Despite El Niño coming to an end earlier this year, the globe still appears to be running a temperature.

Warm global temperatures and La Niña

Usually La Niña means colder temperatures but this is a weak one

I figured it was time to review what has been going on with global temperatures over the last few months. Despite El Niño coming to an end earlier this year, the globe still appears to be running a temperature. September came in as the fourth-warmest September on record according to both NOAA and NASA, while


Forecast: Chance of major winter storm?

Issued November 20, 2017: Covering the period from November 24 to November 30

It looks like we’ve settled into an early winter pattern that has seen a dominant area of high pressure over western North America and a trough of low pressure over eastern North America. Under this pattern we have seen the main storm track cutting across north-central Canada, placing much of southern and central Manitoba into

La Niña developing in time for winter

Just how powerful the weather phenomenon will be this season is still up in the air

I must begin with a bit of an apology. I had promised that we would be looking at trends in overnight temperatures across the Prairies this week, but we will not be able to cover it this time around. As I was working on the final crunching of the data I realized that I had


Forecast: Winter here to stay?

Issued November 6, 2017: Covering the period from November 8 to November 15

Last week’s forecast played out close to what the weather models predicted. The main difference was that last weekend’s low moved through southern and central regions a day earlier than expected. It also wasn’t able to tap into as much warm air as originally anticipated, resulting in the first widespread significant snowfall of the season.

Forecast: Back to more typical weather

Issued October30, 2017: Covering the period from November 1 to November 8

It’s looking more and more like winter is moving in early this year. Last year, at this time, we were looking at several weeks of warm record-breaking temperatures; this year, while not record-breaking cold, it looks to be much more like winter. Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what was expected, with the


Wind, heat, thunder and snow!

Our winters don’t have enough warm air to produce hail, but enough for ice pellets

In my last article, I said we’d continue our discussion on cold-weather precipitation, but before diving back into that icy topic there have been a few unique weather events across our region that deserve a bit of a closer look. The first event was the high winds that worked their way across the three Prairie

Forecast: A return to seasonable weather

Issued October 23, 2017: Covering the period from October 25 to November 1

After a week of unusual fall weather across our region, this forecast period looks to be a little more seasonable. Luckily for us, in last week’s forecast the colder air that was to move in late last weekend didn’t really materialize, and warmer-than-expected temperatures carried over into the first half of this week. The main


A look at snow and super-cooled water

The water in our atmosphere has to be colder than 0 C before it’s cold enough to freeze

As we slowly work our way toward winter and several locations across the Prairies have seen snow, I thought it might be time to revisit the icy topic of snow. Instead of jumping straight into our discussion we’ll look at the process that creates precipitation in cold clouds, which, in our part of the world,

Forecast: Seasonably warm start, then snow?

Issued October 16, 2017: Covering the period from October 18 to October 25

Last week’s forecast played out fairly close to what the weather models predicted. While it did miss out on the Saturday morning snowfall that hit parts of south-central regions, it did catch the weekend cool-down and the warm-up that started this week. For this forecast period, it looks like mild weather will continue to dominate