Forecast: Clouds and showers, transitioning to warm and sunny

Issued August 8, 2016 – Covering the period from August 10 to August 17, 2016

As we’ve seen more than once this summer, last week’s upper low ended up being stronger than expected and as a result, it moved slower. The biggest difference in the last couple of upper lows is that instead of bringing clouds and steady rain, they are the focal point for thunderstorms. The rest of last

Forecast: Only a slight chance of thunderstorms

Issued August 1, 2016 – Covering the period from August 3 to August 10, 2016

We finally saw some sustained dry weather during this last forecast period, but as forecast, thunderstorms did make an appearance late in the long weekend, bringing some rain to our region. For this forecast period, it looks like the drier weather will stick around as high pressure once again dominates. Just like the last forecast,


Forecast: Fair confidence in drier weather prediction

Issued July 25, 2016 – Covering the period from July 27 to August 3, 2016

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what was expected, with a couple of small issues. Well, one small issue and one big issue. First of all the small issue — the system that affected our region over the weekend was a little slower than expected. The big issue was that all of the

Forecast: Has the damp pattern finally come to an end?

Issued July 18, 2016 – Covering the period from July 20 to July 27, 2016

As predicted, last week our region experienced yet another large, strong area of low pressure that brought plenty of clouds, showers and thundershowers, along with cooler-than-average temperatures. The big question is whether this low was the last and will we finally see a switch in our weather pattern? The answer is maybe… just maybe. The


Forecast: So much for a dry hot summer

Issued July 11, 2016 – Covering the period from July 13 to July 20, 2016

This week’s weather forecast begins with a huge area of low pressure centred over the middle of North America. All I can say is, so much for a summer heat wave! All of the weather models are currently pointing towards a continuation of warm and wet weather. This is the same area of low pressure

Forecast: Weather will contain a little bit of everything

Issued July 4, 2016 – Covering the period from July 6 to July 13, 2016

It looks like we’ll be stuck in a rather unsettled weather pattern for at least another week, but there are some hints of some kind of change coming later next week. This forecast period will begin with warm high pressure to our north — that’s right, to our north — and a broad area of


Forecast: Weather outlook a little drier and cooler

Issued June 27, 2016 – Covering the period from June 29 to July 6, 2016

Last week’s weather was almost exactly what was expected. The strong weekend low did track a little farther north than forecast, but it still brought the anticipated stormy wet weather. Luckily, it looks like we’ll see some drier weather during this forecast period — I hope. This forecast period begins with partly cloudy skies on

Forecast: Seasonable temperatures ahead

Issued June 20, 2016 – Covering the period from June 22 to June 29, 2016

I don’t know if I would call last week’s forecast a total bust, as the main weather features occurred as forecasted, but as I’ve said before, sometimes, when it comes to forecasting, the devil is in the details. Take last Friday: none of the short-term forecasts predicted the development of the severe thunderstorms that tracked


Forecast: Active weather pattern continues

Issued June 13, 2016 – Covering the period from June 15 to June 22, 2016

Last week’s forecast was a bit hit and miss. We did see some heat move in, late in the week, as the upper ridge finally moved in, but a couple of upper-level disturbances brought some pretty unsettled weather over the weekend, along with much cooler-than-expected temperatures. For this forecast period, it looks like our active

Forecast: Summer heat and humidity are moving in

Issued June 6, 2016 – Covering the period from June 8 to June 15, 2016

For last week’s forecast the timing of the weather system was slower than expected thanks to another upper-level low that brought a fairly wet end to May and the first day of June. The same upper low brought the extra clouds along with a few showers to central and eastern regions on Sunday and Monday.