Forecast: Slowly moving back toward spring

Issued March 13, 2017 – Covering the period from March 15 to March 22, 2017

Well, I did not do the best job with last week’s forecast. The winter storm ended up being much stronger than expected and when that happens, the system kind of takes control over the overall weather pattern, rewriting the forecast. The one thing that did occur as expected was the cold arctic high- pressure system

Forecast: Winter settling back in over Manitoba

Issued March 6, 2017 – Covering the period from March 8 to March 15, 2017

As I write this forecast late Sunday evening, all eyes are turned toward a major storm system that is forecast to affect pretty much all of Manitoba on Monday and Tuesday. As you read this, you’re likely just finishing digging out from the first major snowfall since early January, or you’re trying to clean up


Forecast: Cool with a chance of snow

Issued February 27, 2017 – Covering the period from March 1 to March 8, 2017

After an extreme warm period, it looks like we are back into more winter-like conditions for this forecast period. This continues the pattern we have seen since early December, of alternating periods of warm and cold weather. This time, though, it does not look like we will see any extremely cold weather move in. For

Forecast: Cooling down to more seasonal temperatures

Issued February 17, 2017 – Covering the period from February 22 to March 1, 2017

Due to the holiday Monday, my deadline for the weather forecast was much earlier than usual. Because of this, I will have to skip some of the details and stick with a more generalized forecast. After a warm to record-warm end to the last forecast period, this forecast period is going to feel a little


Forecast: Warm, with a chance of rain

Issued February 13, 2017 – Covering the period from February 15 to February 22, 2017

Timing of weather systems ended up being an issue with last week’s forecast. We did see a system late last week give a general five cm of snow to a good part of southern and central Manitoba, but it came through a day earlier than forecast. The second low slid quickly through central regions as

Forecast: The battle between warm and cold begins

Issued February 6, 2017 – Covering the period from February 8 to February 15, 2017

After a series of systems brought clouds and occasional light snows to start the week, cool high pressure will lead this forecast period. While it does look like milder air will move in a little later, it is going to be a struggle to overcome the cold air parked to our northeast. High pressure will


Forecast: Warming trend to follow cooler spell

Issued January 30, 2017 – Covering the period from February 1 to February 8, 2017

Last week’s forecast played out fairly well based on the series of events, but the timing was off by a couple of days. The warm weather moved in over the weekend as expected, but the warmest weather stayed to our west, with numerous records for heat broken in Saskatchewan. This forecast period will start off

Forecast: Weather outlook not quite so mild

Issued January 23, 2017 – Covering the period from January 25 to February 1, 2017

As has been fairly typical over the last year or so, the warm air came in as expected and ended up being even warmer than what the weather models predicted. Last week’s heat broke several recorded highs along with even more “record high” overnight lows. For this forecast period, it looks to remain mild, but


Forecast: Very warm pattern setting up

Issued January 16, 2017 – Covering the period from January 18 to January 25, 2017

The warm weather arrived as forecast, with mild Pacific air finally pushing out the cold arctic air. This mild air looks to stick around for at least this forecast period. The big question is whether we’ll see more significant precipitation. This forecast period begins with high pressure dominating much of Western and Central Canada and

Forecast: Is a winter heat wave moving in?

Issued January 9, 2017 – Covering the period from January 11 to January 18, 2017

It seems we are moving into a pattern of cold and settled weather, interspersed with periods of warm and active weather. The current medium-range forecast looks to support this. This forecast period will begin on the cold side as an area of arctic high pressure builds southward behind a Colorado low that passed by to