Forecast: Some nice late-winter weather

Issued February 26, 2018: Covering the period from February 28 to March 7

Over the last week or so, the general weather pattern across much of central and northern North America has undergone a major shift. The polar vortex has broken down as expected, the western ridge of high pressure has weakened and moved farther off the coast, and the long-wave trough of low pressure over eastern regions

Springcasting and other interesting websites

Data on lilacs’ flowering and budding over time are being put to work in the U.S.

With about a month and a half left in our rather uneventful extended winter season (November to March) it’s becoming difficult to come up with new and interesting things to write about. Remember, feel free to contact me at [email protected] with any questions or ideas you may have about anything weather related. That said, I


Forecast: Some signs point to milder weather ahead

Issued February 12, 2018: Covering the period from February 14 to February 21

With the polar vortex still firmly in place, our weather forecasts have been predictable, and once again last week we saw the weather play out darned close to what the weather models had predicted. Arctic air dominated right through the weekend and some areas even saw a little light snow Sunday as the forecast weak

Forecast: Will warm weather return next week?

Issued February 5, 2018: Covering the period from February 7 to February 14

The arctic vortex deepened and took up position just north of Hudson Bay as expected last week, which resulted in a return to cold temperatures across all of Manitoba. The only part of the forecast that was a little off was the occasional dusting of snow that preceded each new area of high pressure that


Warm January, cold February?

Prevailing patterns should make it easy for arctic high pressure to migrate south

As the first month of 2018 comes to a close I am stuck trying to figure out what I should write about. By the time you are reading this it will be past the end of the month, so the article should be the usual monthly summary and look ahead. After all, if I wait

Forecast: We’re heading back into the deep freeze

Issued January 29, 2018: Covering the period from January 31 to February 7

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models had predicted. Most areas did see some snow last Friday and early Saturday, with snowfall totals ranging from a dusting up to about seven cm. Colder air moved in behind the low as expected Sunday and Monday, before a brief warm-up on Tuesday


Forecast: Nice winter weather expected

Issued January 22, 2018: Covering the period from January 24 to January 31

The first half of last week’s forecast was pretty good as mild Pacific air flooded in from the west and northwest, bringing near-record to record highs across much of southern and central Manitoba. The forecast area of low pressure that was expected to track through the Dakotas last Monday ended up tracking much farther south.

Forecast: Milder weather, with a chance of snow

Issued January 15, 2018: Covering the period from January 17 to January 24

Once again, the weather models have done a fairly good job of predicting the big picture, but just like in the last forecast period, they struggled with the details. We saw this last weekend as the weather models totally missed out on a weak system moving through ahead of the next arctic high. This system


Forecast: Cold weather moves back in

Issued January 8, 2018: Covering the period from January 13 to January 20

The weather models have been doing a fairly good job of predicting the big picture, but are struggling a little with the details. We saw this over the weekend as air much warmer than anticipated moved in on Sunday and ended up sticking around for an extra day or two before the arctic air returned.

Forecast: Weather pattern trying to switch back to mild

Issued January 3, 2018: Covering the period from January 3 to January 10

The Christmas forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models predicted, as cold weather moved in over the holidays. The one big difference was just how cold it ended up getting, with some areas seeing overnight lows drop into the mid -30s C. For this forecast period it looks like the very cold