Forecast: So much for a dry hot summer

Issued July 11, 2016 – Covering the period from July 13 to July 20, 2016

Reading Time: < 1 minute

Published: July 14, 2016

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This map shows the the total precipitation across the Prairies over the last three months. Most of the Prairies have seen near- to slightly above-average rainfall so far this growing season, with only southern and central Alberta seeing below-average amounts.

This week’s weather forecast begins with a huge area of low pressure centred over the middle of North America. All I can say is, so much for a summer heat wave! All of the weather models are currently pointing towards a continuation of warm and wet weather. This is the same area of low pressure that originally looked like it would track across northern Manitoba, but it’s now taken a much more southerly route.

By the end of the day on Thursday this area of low pressure should be out of our region, bringing a return of more sun than clouds. We should see more sun than clouds to end the week as weak high pressure builds in. Unfortunately, this sunny weather doesn’t look like it will stick around as the weather models are showing another area of low pressure moving into our region on Sunday, bringing with it more clouds and showers.

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Weak high pressure looks to dominate the weather for the first part of next week with mostly sunny skies and daytime highs in the mid-20s and overnight lows in the low teens.

For those of you who are wishing for the warm and dry weather to continue — something the long range forecasts have predicted — it looks like you are not in luck. The latest medium-range forecast shows yet another strong area of low pressure to develop to our west later next week, bringing an increasing chance of showers and thundershowers by the second half of the week.

Usual temperature range for this period:

  • Highs: 22 to 30 C
  • Lows: 1 to 17 C

About the author

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte

Co-operator contributor

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a BA (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology, from the U of W. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park.

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