Latest articles


Forecast: Seasonably warm start, then snow?

Issued October 16, 2017: Covering the period from October 18 to October 25

Last week’s forecast played out fairly close to what the weather models predicted. While it did miss out on the Saturday morning snowfall that hit parts of south-central regions, it did catch the weekend cool-down and the warm-up that started this week. For this forecast period, it looks like mild weather will continue to dominate […] Read more


Forecast: Mild conditions expected to dominate

Issued October 9, 2017: Covering the period from October 11 to October 18

The first half of last week’s forecast played out as expected. Fortunately, the second half didn’t materialize, thanks to a northward shift in the overall pattern. Spring and fall tend to be the toughest times to forecast the weather as the atmosphere begins its transition between summer and winter weather patterns, and we saw this […] Read more



Forecast: Big change in the weather coming next week?

Issued October 3, 2017: Covering the period from October 4 to October 11

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what weather models predicted. The biggest differences were the widespread light frost on Thursday morning and the showers/light rain last Sunday afternoon over eastern regions. This forecast period will begin with seasonably cool conditions as a weak high pressure builds in from the west behind a departing […] Read more


Forecast: Mild and dry weather returns

Issued September 25, 2017: Covering the period from September 27 to October 4

Over the last week or so we saw our first period of unsettled wet weather in a long time. The forecasted system brought some late-season thunderstorms to several regions late last Friday. We then saw another area of light rainfall move through on Sunday. This second system was forecast to stay well to our south, […] Read more



Forecast: Expect more unsettled but mild weather

Issued September 18, 2017: Covering the period from September 20 to 27

The first part of last week’s forecast played out fairly close to what the weather models predicted. The main area of low pressure and the associated rainfall moved through our region late last Friday. Unfortunately or fortunately, depending on your perspective, the main rainfall stayed to our south and east, with most areas seeing between […] Read more


Forecast: Continued warm, but wetter

Issued September 11, 2017: Covering the period from September 13 to 20

The weather models were surprisingly accurate over the last week or two, thanks in part to a fairly persistent ridge of high pressure. For this forecast period it looks like we will see a shift in our overall weather pattern. The question is whether this will be a temporary shift or a more permanent one. […] Read more



Forecast: Little taste of fall, then back to summer

Issued September 1, 2017: Covering the period from September 6 to 13

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models had predicted. For this forecast period, confidence levels are not very high due to an earlier-than-usual deadline because of the long weekend. That said, the weather models have been fairly consistent with their predictions over the last couple of days, with only the […] Read more


Forecast: Temperatures overall remaining warm

Issued August 28, 2017: Covering the period from August 30 to September 6

Last week’s forecast quickly fell apart as two small but significant upper lows travelled across our region. The second of these upper lows moved through last Wednesday and brought with it some very cool temperatures. By Thursday morning temperatures in some localities dropped very close to the freezing point, giving us the first taste of […] Read more



Forecast: Warm and dry to start; cooler next week?

Issued August 21, 2017: Covering the period from August 23 to August 30

Last week’s forecast — at least the first part — wasn’t too bad, but things kind of fell apart on Sunday and into the first part of this week. I had pointed out that confidence in that part of the forecast was low. The disappointing part for some people was the weak system that came […] Read more