GFM Network News


Forecast: Is spring fighting its way in early?

Covering the period from February 19 to February 26, 2019

As I pointed out at the beginning of last week’s forecast, when there is a switch in the weather pattern, the devil is in the details and we definitely noticed that last week. The weather models correctly forecasted a couple of outbreaks of cold arctic air. What they failed to get right was just how

Forecast: Colder weather definitely moving back in

Covering the period from February 12 to February 19, 2019

Any time we see a switch in the weather pattern, the weather models tend to struggle a little bit on the day-to-day details, and we saw this happen with last week’s forecast. Colder air tried to move in several times, but these cold intrusions only lasted a day or so before milder air moved back


Forecast: Winter’s not done yet

Covering the period from February 5 to February 12, 2019

It’s starting to sound like a broken record, but once again, the weather models have done a decent job with the short- to medium-term forecasts. It can be tough to get the temperatures bang on when we are dealing with clouds with the occasional clear patch. Also, with the stagnant flow, the weather models were

Forecast: Split flow brings mild weather

Covering the period from January 29 to February 5, 2019

Once again, the weather models have been doing a decent job with the short- to medium-term forecasts. As usual, some of the smaller details are getting missed, but the models are handling the overall pattern quite well. For most of the last forecast period and the first part of this forecast period we have been

Forecast: Mild, quiet weather moving back in

Covering the period from January 22 to January 29, 2019

The first half of my last forecast unfolded close to what was expected, with a few minor exceptions. The cold arctic air did move in and luckily it was only a brief encounter as the centre of the cold air remained well to our west. With the centre of the cold air staying farther west


Forecast: Cold with only slight chances of snow

Covering the period from January 15 to January 22, 2019

Well, last week’s forecast played out not too badly. We saw an Alberta clipper come through late last Wednesday and into Thursday and it ended up dropping a bit more snow than originally expected. While the cold air moved in over the weekend, as forecast, it ended up being pretty much right at the temperatures

Forecast: Colder and more active weather pattern developing

Covering the period from January 8 to January 15, 2019

It has been awhile since I last wrote a forecast. Back in the middle of December the medium- to long-range weather models were calling for milder weather during the second half of December and it turned out they were right. So now the big question is, what are these weather models calling for over the

Year in review: How did 2019’s weather measure up?

The short answer is that the year just past was cooler and drier than average

As we pass the end of another calendar year, it is time to take a look back at the past year’s weather to see how everything added up. Before I zoom into Manitoba, let’s take a quick look at the global picture. November’s global temperature numbers have just been released and three of the five


Forecast: Milder weather with a chance for snow

Covering the period from December 16 to December 25, 2019

As is fairly typical when we are in a pattern dominated by arctic high pressure, the timing of the system for last week’s forecast was off by a little bit. We definitely saw high pressure and cold air build in during the first half of last week’s forecast, but the Pacific low came in a

Forecast: Typical mid-December weather

Covering the period from December 9 to December 18, 2019

Last week’s forecast got the big weather picture not too badly, but it was off on the timing. The cold air took a little longer than forecast to move in and ended up being a little colder than expected. As often is the case, when the general movement of weather systems slows down, we often