Forecast: Upper low to bring unsettled weather

Issued May 9, 2016 – Covering the period from May 11 to May 18, 2016

Most of last week’s forecasts played out pretty much as expected, with high pressure dominating our region bringing plenty of sunshine, dry conditions and warm temperatures. A big question mark is whether this will be our new pattern — or was this only a temporary reprieve from what we experienced in April? Normally I am

Forecast: High pressure to bring warm, dry weather

Issued May 2, 2016 – Covering the period from May 4 to May 11, 2016

As forecast last week, our weather pattern has undergone an expected shift, as high pressure continues to build over our region. With this building ridge it looks like winter is going to be firmly locked away well to our north, and we’ll start to feel some summer-like heat moving in. This forecast period begins with


Forecast: Building ridge to bring warm, dry weather

Issued April 25, 2016 – Covering the period from April 27 to May 2, 2016

After being stuck in a fairly cool weather pattern for almost a month now, it looks like things are going to slowly start to transition into a new pattern. This forecast period is going to begin a little cool but dry, and it looks more and more like it will finish off warm and dry.

Forecast: Warm start, then a little cooler

Issued April 18, 2016 – Covering the period from April 20 to April 27, 2016

Unfortunately, last week’s forecast was right on the money, as a large upper-level low broke off and stalled well to our south. This resulted in a very wet and cool weekend across nearly all of southern and central Manitoba. For this forecast period it looks like our weather pattern will continue to undergo changes as


Forecast: Warmer temperatures, but wet days ahead

Issued April 11, 2016 – Covering the period from April 13 to April 20, 2016

I pointed out early this month that we would be seeing a change in our weather pattern around the middle of the month; it looks more and more like this will exactly be the case, but what will this change look and feel like? At first it looked as though we were going to see

Forecast: Plenty of cold and unsettled weather ahead

Issued April 4, 2016 – Covering the period from April 6 to April 13, 2016

Spring is always a tough time to forecast the weather as the battle between cold and warm air really heats up, but this forecast period is particularly tough. Once again we are stuck between a strong ridge of high pressure to our west, bringing record-breaking warmth to that region, and a large trough of low


Forecast: Main storm track stays to our south

Issued March 28, 2016 – Covering the period from March 30, 2016 to April 6, 2016

During the last week or so we’ve seen one of the more active weather patterns so far this winter and early spring. For this forecast period it looks like the more active weather will be staying to our south. This will mean less precipitation, but cooler conditions. This forecast period begins with a major storm

Forecast: Spring is having trouble getting hold

Issued March 21, 2016 – Covering the period from March 23, 2016 to March 30, 2016

The expected changes in our weather pattern materialized last week with an extremely warm early-spring pattern being replaced by a more seasonal one. If the mild-cool pattern we’ve seen all winter persists, we can expect to see cooler conditions for the next couple of weeks before above-average temperatures move back in. This forecast period will


Forecast: Return to more average weather conditions

Issued March 14, 2016 – Covering the period from March 16, 2016 to March 23, 2016

Last week’s forecast called for temperatures to be “at or above” the usual temperature range for this time of the year as warm air spread into the region. Well, temperatures were definitely “above” the usual temperature range, with a large number of locations breaking records for daytime highs and even some overnight lows. It does

Forecast: An early shot of spring weather

Issued March 7, 2016 – Covering the period from March 9, 2016 to March 16, 2016

From a forecasting point of view, you can really tell we are starting to move into spring, as it’s this time of the year when weather models often have a hard time “figuring out” just what’s going on. We saw some of this with last week’s forecast as some areas cleared out and saw plenty