ICE November 2023 canola with Bollinger bands (20,2) and July 2023 canola (green line). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Don’t bank on $700 canola, analyst suggests

Fresh bullish news not yet in view

MarketsFarm — New-crop canola prices on ICE Futures seemed to be destined to remain well below $700 per tonne, according to analyst Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications in Calgary. “The market tends to be back where it came from,” Anderson said, stressing that chances of canola pushing higher requires fresh bullish news. “It’s got to

(File photo by Dave Bedard)

Speculative short position declines in canola

Traders' net long in CBOT soy also reduced

MarketsFarm — The speculative short position in canola continued to shrink during the week ended May 15, as speculators bought back short positions and put on new longs, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As of May 15, 2023, the net managed money short position


Farmer Steve Timmer plants corn near Shelby in Richland County, Ohio, about 110 km north of Columbus, 
on April 19.

Grain traders cover some risk as planting continues

Canola contracts show strength independent of other oilseeds

North American grain and oilseed contracts saw choppy activity during the second week of May, moving up and down as the growing season for most crops got underway and traders looked to cover some risk in the face of uncertainty. For its part, the ICE Futures canola market showed independent strength relative to other vegetable

ICE July 2023 canola with 20-day moving average and November 2023 canola (yellow line). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Unclear where canola wants to go

Soy complex's trend much more apparent

MarketsFarm — While the ICE Futures canola market declined during the week ended Wednesday, the oilseed has been affected by a mixture of supports and pressures, according to commodities futures advisor David Derwin of PI Financial in Winnipeg. The July canola contract dropped $20.60 per tonne during the week to close at $714.10 on Wednesday,


Figure 1: Seeding progression in 2023 compared to previous years.

Seeding progress behind five-year average, soybean, canola seen lagging

Manitoba Crop Report: Issue 1 (week 20)

Weekly Provincial Summary  Precipitation was variable across agro–Manitoba from May 8 to 14 with values ranging from 0 to 48.9 mm. Mid-week rains brought the highest observed precipitation to the Northwest and Southwest regions. Climate normals for total accumulated precipitation from May 1 to May 14 range from 13.1 to 29.2 mm and are based



Ceres Solutions agronomist Betsy Bower shows a soybean seedling dug up in a recently planted field at Terre Haute in western Indiana on April 19.

Canola on the verge of a good spring

The resistance level is now believed to be around $750

As canola pulled away from its support level of $680 per tonne early in the week of May 1, the oilseed trade was muddled. Signs of that cropped up in the May 3 morning trading session, when it bounced on either side of steady. That again occurred May 4 and lasted most of the day.

ICE July 2023 canola with 20- and 50-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola showing independent strength

Prairie weather uncertainty supportive

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures’ canola market saw some independent strength relative to other oilseeds during the week ended Wednesday, as speculative positioning and the need to ration tight old-crop supplies provided support. Canadian canola stocks as of March 31 were pegged at 5.95 million tonnes by Statistics Canada in a report released Tuesday. That was


(Dave Bedard photo)

Latest StatCan stocks report ‘least important of them all’

Wheat, canola numbers not expected to have significant impact on markets

MarketsFarm — For MarketsFarm Pro analyst Mike Jubinville, there was little in the latest Statistics Canada (StatCan) grain stocks report that would budge the markets. “When I look at the run of StatCan reports that we get through the year, whether they’re acreage, production or ending stocks, this report in May is the least important

(Gassen/iStock/Getty Images)

Canada will not be intimidated by China retaliation, Trudeau says

China seen as 'more sensitive about food security' now, CAPI says

Ottawa | Reuters — Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Tuesday said Canada will not be intimidated by China following tit-for-tat diplomatic expulsions by Ottawa and Beijing. Ottawa expelled Chinese diplomat Zhao Wei on Monday over allegations related to foreign interference, and hours later, China asked a Canadian diplomat in Shanghai to leave by Saturday in