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Grain Markets

While every year presents its own challenges and opportunities, a number of themes kept reappearing with only slight variations.
Grain Markets, Markets

Looking back at the decade that was in grain markets

As the ‘teens come to a close, it’s been 10 years of enormous change

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The more things change, the more they stay the same.’ There was no shortage of market moving topics to write about over the past decade, from the demise of the Canadian Wheat Board to the rise of tweet-based international diplomacy, but did anything really change? Grain and oilseed prices had their ups and downs, but
Statistics Canada’s latest crop production estimates report pegged the country’s 2019 canola harvest at only 18.65 million tonnes.
Grain Markets, Markets

StatsCan report tells tale of poor harvest conditions

Fundamentals could soon favour canola values

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ICE Futures canola contracts started the first week of December by falling to their lowest levels in three months, as losses in outside vegetable oil markets spilled over to weigh on values. However, values recovered off of those lows by the end of the week, with the impact of the poor harvest finally showing up
ICE canola futures remain rangebound
Grain Markets, Markets

ICE canola futures remain rangebound

Talk of more trade talks supports Chicago futures

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The ICE Futures canola market flatlined during the second week of November, trading within a rather narrow sideways range and showing little incentive to break one way or the other. The steady tone came despite a sizable drop in Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soyoil prices, as world vegoil markets backed off nearby highs. Soyoil
Canola production on the Prairies takes a weather hit
Grain Markets, Oilseeds

Canola production on the Prairies takes a weather hit

But that effect on production may have already been digested by the market

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Poor harvest weather definitely cut into the size and quality of this year’s Canadian canola crop, with a large percentage still in the fields heading into the end of October. However, that supportive supply-side story may be factored into the futures for the time being, with the market now in need of some fresh demand
Canola swaths under snow after a freak snowstorm in Manitoba Thanksgiving weekend.
Grain Markets, Markets

Canola prices remain subdued despite weather

Growers break single-week record for canola deliveries

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Canola values remained “not exactly lifeless” but rangebound during the week ended Oct. 18, seemingly unfettered by a less-than-ideal harvest season. A cold front and Colorado low hit Manitoba over Thanksgiving weekend, delivering up to 70 cm of snow in some regions. That ought to have introduced a weather premium into markets, as the canola
With the number of days in harvest 2019 diminishing, canola prices have had a recent lift.
Grain Markets, Oilseeds

As snow falls, canola market rises

Weather alone won’t sustain canola’s rally for long

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An early winter storm on the western Prairies and persistent cool and wet conditions to the east put the brakes on harvest operations during the first few days of October, with canola futures finding some support on the back of adverse weather. After holding within a sideways trading range for the past three months, the
Harvest setbacks bring uncertainty to grain markets
Grain Markets, Markets

Harvest setbacks bring uncertainty to grain markets

Canola purchases from the EU have been supportive

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Canola values remained sluggish and rangebound during the week ended Sept. 27, dampened by large carry-out stocks and uncertainty regarding 2019 production volumes. As harvest drags out across the Prairies, challenging weather conditions could begin to harm crop quality. While Statistics Canada earlier in the month predicted canola production to be around 19.358 million tonnes,
Grain Markets, News

China grants waivers on U.S. soybeans

China is clearing the way for importers to buy U.S. soy exempt from tariffs — sources

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China has given new waivers to several importers to buy U.S. soybeans exempt from retaliatory tariffs, in a goodwill gesture ahead of high-level trade talks next month, two sources familiar with the matter said Sept. 24. The waivers, offered in two batches, total around five million to six million tonnes, according to one of the
Little to shake canola from being range-bound
Grain Markets, Markets

Little to shake canola from being range-bound

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Despite two reports over the last 10 days, there hasn’t been anything significant enough to shake canola from being range-bound. As the markets waited with breath held for the latest supply-and-demand report from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) released August 12, there was speculation the report would have a strong spillover effect on
Grain Markets, Markets

USDA’s recalculations toss anvil to markets

Canola remains rangebound as harvest looms

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A surprisingly large corn production estimate from the U.S. Department of Agriculture gave North American grain and oilseed markets a jolt during the week ended Aug. 15. Corn and wheat prices fell in response to the updated data, while oilseeds had a more subdued response. After a soggy start to the U.S. growing season, investors

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