The weather pattern played out a little quicker than forecast last week. The mild weather moved in as expected, but the cold front moved through on Sunday instead of Monday.
For this forecast period it looks like the mild weather will continue, but the overall pattern, while mainly dry, will be fairly active. This means there is a fair bit of uncertainty in the timing of the various weather systems affecting us over the next week or two.
This forecast begins with an area of low pressure tracking across north-central Manitoba, which will place southern and central regions on the warm side of the low. We should see a mix of sun and clouds, along with very mild temperatures, and highs expected to be around the 20 C mark. Behind the low, a weak cold front will push through, dropping our temperatures by about 5° or 6° on Thursday and Friday. A second area of low pressure is then forecast to move through on Saturday, but this time it will follow a slightly more southerly track. This means a short return to near 20 C on Saturday, before a slightly stronger cold front drops south on Sunday. There will be a good chance of some showers with this system later Saturday and into Sunday.
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Next week’s forecast has a fair bit of uncertainty. The weather models show an upper low forming to our east, but how strong this low gets and where it sets up will greatly impact our weather. If it remains far enough to the east, as now forecast, we’ll see nice mild air move in along with plenty of sunshine and daily highs starting out around 12 C on Monday and warming toward the 20 C mark by Wednesday. If the low is farther west than anticipated, we’ll see more clouds and much cooler conditions, with highs only around 10 C.
Usual temperature range for this period: Highs, 5 to 18 C; lows, -6 to +4 C. Probability of precipitation falling as snow: 35 per cent.
