Forecast: Typical mid-winter weather

Issued December 31, 2016 – Covering the period from January 4 to January 11, 2017

After a fairly active last week of December, it looks as though January will start off on the quiet side. High pressure looks to dominate our weather pattern over the next week or two, with the main storm track expected to stay to our south. A ridge of arctic high pressure is forecast to slowly

Forecast: Battle between warm and cold setting up

Issued December 19, 2016 – Covering the period from December 21 to December 28, 2016

Our nine days of brutally cold air have ended; that’s right, this little cold snap was only nine days long, but from what I was hearing, you’d think it was the entire month! The lobe of cold arctic air that brought the cold weather has finally weakened and moved off to the east, allowing the


Forecast: Arctic high pressure to dominate

Issued December 12, 2016 – Covering the period from December 14 to December 21, 2016

We definitely have switched into winter, with most areas seeing a dramatic switch last week as the predicted snowstorm hit, ending our record warm spell. The weather pattern looks to be quiet across our region for this forecast period as cold arctic high pressure dominates our weather, but we will have to keep a cautious eye on

Forecast: Winter arrives with a vengeance

Issued December 5, 2016 – Covering the period from December 7 to December 14, 2016

It seems like each week, forecasts start out the same, and this week is no exception. Last week’s forecast did a pretty good job, and this week’s forecast is starting off with a storm system affecting some or all of southern and central Manitoba. A strong area of low pressure will likely depart southern Manitoba


Forecast: Stormy pattern trying to develop

Issued November 28, 2016 – Covering the period from November 30 to December 7, 2016

Once again the weather models got the general pattern correct, but as usual, the weather is in the details. Last week’s weather models showed another Colorado low developing and tracking south of us during the first half of the week. Fast-forward a few days and now that same Colorado low is expected to spin out

Forecast: Pattern expected to shift, but just slightly

Issued November 21, 2016 – Covering the period from November 23 to November 30, 2016

Last week’s forecast was a little bit of a bust. The forecasted storm system did form as expected, but by last Wednesday, the weather models had come to an agreement on a much more southerly path and that is what ended up happening. As a result, no significant snow fell across southern or central Manitoba


Forecast: Winter storm with shift in patterns?

Issued November 14, 2016 – Covering the period from November 16 to November 23, 2016

After a record-breaking warm first half of November, it’s looking more and more like we’ll see a shift in the overall weather pattern during this forecast period. The big question is whether or not this shift will be accompanied by the first big winter storm of the year. The weather models have been fairly consistent

Forecast: Late-fall heat wave continues

Issued November 7, 2016 – Covering the period from November 9 to November 16, 2016

The general weather pattern hasn’t changed much over the last week across North America. A large area of high pressure is situated over central North America, with a large area of low pressure over the Gulf of Alaska. This means we will be seeing a continuation of our warm and relatively dry weather for at


Forecast: Warm fall weather to continue

Issued October 31, 2016 – Covering the period from November 2 to November 9, 2016

I’m not sure if this will be a good-news or bad-news forecast. With many regions having wet fields, a number of farmers to whom I’ve spoken want cold weather to move in so the ground can freeze up. If you’re in that boat, then this will not be a great forecast. As usual, confidence in

Forecast: Mild autumn weather to continue

Issued October 24, 2016 – Covering the period from October 26 to November 2, 2016

Another tough forecast period coming up — not because of any strong storm systems, but rather because we appear to be stuck with a weak steering flow, along with fairly weak weather systems. Add these together and they make for tough day-to-day forecasting. Last week’s weather was much the same, and while the overall forecast