Weather: Storms staying to our south?

Forecast covering the period from Nov. 10 to Nov. 17

The weather models kind of got their act together for last issue’s forecast. They correctly predicted the warm air that moved in around November 4 but were a little off as the warm temperatures stuck around longer than expected. This then translated into a shift forward in time for the remainder of the forecast. In

Weather: Plenty of uncertainty in the outlook

Forecast covering the period from Nov. 3 to Nov. 10

I think we knew it was going to happen. After nearly a month of very accurate computer-modelled medium-range forecasts, things slipped a bit. The forecasted trough of low pressure that was to move out of our region at the start of last issue’s forecast took much longer to move through, which impacted the timing and


Weather: Typical late-fall weather ahead

Forecast covering the period from Oct. 27 to Nov. 3

Well, last week’s forecast turned out pretty good, but it was not as good as the previous three forecasts. We did see the cool-down and as predicted by the weather models, with the eastern trough of low pressure winning out and our region seeing a return to near-average to even a little below-average temperatures. The latter part of

Weather: Battle between fall and winter begins

Forecast covering the period from Oct. 20 to Oct. 27

Don’t remember the last time I have seen the forecast and the actual weather play out nearly perfectly for three weeks in a row, but that is exactly what has happened over the last three weeks. Confidence in hitting four weeks in a row is not that high, though, as the weather models are starting


Weather: Stormy start, then a return to warm?

Forecast covering the period from Oct. 13 to Oct. 20

Like they say, all good things must come to an end. This saying only works if you have been enjoying this summer-in-October weather. If you are hoping for significant rainfall, then you just might be happy by the time you are reading this. For the second time in a row, the forecast played out very

Weather: Summer keeps trying to hang on

Forecast covering the period from Oct. 6 to Oct. 13

Last week’s forecast came about as close as you can to nailing it. We saw plenty of sunshine and warm to record-breaking-warm temperatures. The only parts that were off were the showers and thundershowers that impacted west-central Manitoba instead of eastern regions and the extended forecast that called for colder weather over the Thanksgiving long


Weather: Almost summer-like temperatures ahead

Forecast covering the period from Sept. 29 to Oct. 6

For the first time in a while, my last forecast was pretty darned close. We saw the nice warm temperatures early on, the late-week/early-weekend cool-down, then the return of warm temperatures to begin this week. For this forecast period, it looks like the warm, almost summer-like temperatures will continue as we move into early October.

Weather: Forecast models trending back to warm

Forecast covering the period from Sept. 22 to Sept. 29

It has been kind of interesting watching the weather models over the last couple of weeks. They keep trying to forecast cold air pushing south, but areas of low pressure seem to keep developing to our southwest and west. The counter-clockwise rotation around these lows stalls the southward progression of the cold air as warm


Summer precipitation totals hide the drought

OUTLOOK | Medium-range weather models hint at cold weather mid-month

For this article we will take a quick look back at August, then a quick look at the summer. I’ll wrap it up by looking at what the latest long-range forecasts call for this fall. I won’t have room to go into detail on this summer’s weather and will have to leave that for another

Weather: Nice long weekend expected

Forecast covering the period from September 1 to 8

We saw the expected unsettled weather from our previous forecast, and in fact, the two areas of low pressure ended up being much stronger and slower moving than the models predicted, resulting in a longer period of cooler temperatures. Cooler summer temperatures usually mean daytime clouds — something most regions dealt with during a good part of last week.