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Grey skies over the Alberta landscape, July 2023. (Geralyn Wichers photo)
Weather

Prairie Forecast: Big change in weather pattern

Issued July 5, covering July 5-12

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Most people have been saying that June felt like July and the weather statistics agreed. Well, if the weather models are correct, it’s looking like July will feel more like June — at least for the next forecast period. Here is the big picture before we dive into the details for each of the three
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Weather, Weather Vane

Straight-line winds can be the worst thunderstorm threat

Meteorology 101: Not all, but nearly all such winds occur near a storm's leading edge

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The latest world monthly temperature rankings have come out for May. Not surprisingly, it turned out to be one of the warmest Mays on record, rated third warmest by both NASA and NOAA. The European Copernicus Climate Change Service ranked May as the second-warmest, while the Japanese meteorological agency placed May as the warmest on
Forecast probability of temperatures above, below and/or near normal for the period from July through September 2023, based on three equiprobable categories from 1991-2020 climatology. (Weather.gc.ca)
Crops, Weather

Dry, hot Canadian summer expected

Normal precip expected for Ontario, Quebec

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MarketsFarm — Warmer-than-normal temperatures are expected across all of Canada for the next three months, with average precipitation in most of the agricultural areas of the Prairies. That’s according to the latest long-range seasonal forecast from Environment Canada, released Friday. The government department calls for a 50-70 per cent chance of above-normal temperatures from July
Mammatus-type clouds over Winnipeg on the evening of July 2, 2023. (Dave Bedard photo)
Weather

Prairie Forecast Update: Low lingers in Manitoba

Issued July 2, covering July 3 to 5

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The overall forecast remains on track across both Alberta and Saskatchewan, so only a small update is needed for Manitoba. Across Manitoba, the area of low pressure that has been tracking across the northern half of the Prairie provinces is now forecasted to take a little longer to exit this region. The two main impacts
(Warchi/iStock/Getty Images)
Weather

Prairie Forecast: Alberta low to bring bit of a cooldown

Issued June 28, covering June 28 to July 5

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After a fairly active weather pattern over the last few days, at least across the eastern half of the Prairies, it looks like most regions will see much quieter few days to start off this forecast period. Weak upper-level ridging combine with a broad but weak area of surface high pressure should bring typical summer
First-cut yield varies, matching spotty rainfall.
Crops, News

Growers report patchy hay with patchy rain

Sporadic rain has led to varied forage yields for Manitoba’s first cut

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Manitoba’s first-cut hay volume is hit or miss, depending on location of patchy thunderstorms responsible for most of the growing season’s precipitation. “Because they’re deep-rooted and we had relatively good soil moisture in the spring, the first crop of alfalfa is looking not too bad,” said John McGregor, forage expert with the Manitoba Forage and
Weather Vane by Daniel Bezte
Other, Weather, Weather Vane

That dreaded weather phenomenon: hail

Meteorology 101: You don’t necessarily need a tall thunderstorm to produce hail stones

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Hail is probably the most feared and costly type of severe summer weather. If you’ve lived any significant amount of time on the Prairies, you have likely experienced a hailstorm. While hail can occur anywhere across North America, there are two main regions where incidence is significantly higher — the central United States and the
Ducklings on display at the Red River Ex in Winnipeg on June 20, 2023 stuck to the shady side of the waterer as daytime temperatures maxed out at nearly 36 C. (Dave Bedard photo)
Weather

Prairie Forecast: Shift in the pattern

Issued June 21, covering June 21 to 28

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The weather pattern that brought some record heat to the eastern Prairies, and some significant rains to parts of Alberta, looks like it will be undergoing a bit of change during this forecast period. The overall flow across the Prairies appears as though it will become predominantly northwesterly as an upper low sets up over
“There’s a tremendous amount of water taken up by the plants that ends up right back in the atmosphere as water vapour. In fact, in dryland farming, the majority of that water is just cycled right back to the atmosphere.” – Paul Bullock.
News, Weather

Rainfall 101: a refresher on how it makes or breaks your crop

Revisiting the basics of how plants use that moisture top-up

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In the Prairies, spring meltwater may give emerging crops a good start, but the finish is up to the rain. “If you had your clay soils filled to their maximum water-holding capacity and then it doesn’t rain on them for the rest of the crop season, you’re going to have a crop failure,” said Paul

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