Forecast: Some signs point to milder weather ahead

Issued February 12, 2018: Covering the period from February 14 to February 21

With the polar vortex still firmly in place, our weather forecasts have been predictable, and once again last week we saw the weather play out darned close to what the weather models had predicted. Arctic air dominated right through the weekend and some areas even saw a little light snow Sunday as the forecast weak

Forecast: Will warm weather return next week?

Issued February 5, 2018: Covering the period from February 7 to February 14

The arctic vortex deepened and took up position just north of Hudson Bay as expected last week, which resulted in a return to cold temperatures across all of Manitoba. The only part of the forecast that was a little off was the occasional dusting of snow that preceded each new area of high pressure that


Forecast: We’re heading back into the deep freeze

Issued January 29, 2018: Covering the period from January 31 to February 7

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models had predicted. Most areas did see some snow last Friday and early Saturday, with snowfall totals ranging from a dusting up to about seven cm. Colder air moved in behind the low as expected Sunday and Monday, before a brief warm-up on Tuesday

Forecast: Nice winter weather expected

Issued January 22, 2018: Covering the period from January 24 to January 31

The first half of last week’s forecast was pretty good as mild Pacific air flooded in from the west and northwest, bringing near-record to record highs across much of southern and central Manitoba. The forecast area of low pressure that was expected to track through the Dakotas last Monday ended up tracking much farther south.


Forecast: Milder weather, with a chance of snow

Issued January 15, 2018: Covering the period from January 17 to January 24

Once again, the weather models have done a fairly good job of predicting the big picture, but just like in the last forecast period, they struggled with the details. We saw this last weekend as the weather models totally missed out on a weak system moving through ahead of the next arctic high. This system

Forecast: Cold weather moves back in

Issued January 8, 2018: Covering the period from January 13 to January 20

The weather models have been doing a fairly good job of predicting the big picture, but are struggling a little with the details. We saw this over the weekend as air much warmer than anticipated moved in on Sunday and ended up sticking around for an extra day or two before the arctic air returned.


Forecast: Weather pattern trying to switch back to mild

Issued January 3, 2018: Covering the period from January 3 to January 10

The Christmas forecast played out pretty close to what the weather models predicted, as cold weather moved in over the holidays. The one big difference was just how cold it ended up getting, with some areas seeing overnight lows drop into the mid -30s C. For this forecast period it looks like the very cold

Forecast: Cold weather moving in for Christmas

Issued December 18, 2017: Covering the period from December 20 to December 27

The predicted switch in our weather pattern began to materialize over the last forecast period as the West Coast ridge began to break down. Over this forecast period it’s looking like we’ll begin to feel the effects of the switch as colder air builds into the region. To start off this forecast period, there will


Forecast: Seasonably mild with a chance of snow

Issued December 11, 2017: Covering the period from December 13 to December 20

The weather models continue to struggle with the finer details of the overall weather pattern. Take last week’s forecast: the weather models were able to correctly predict the development of the West Coast ridge along with the broad trough of low pressure across the eastern half of North America; what they struggled with was the

Forecast: Seasonably cold and dry weather ahead

Issued December 4, 2017: Covering the period from December 6 to December 13

If you have been regularly checking out the weather models over the last couple of weeks you would have noticed they have been having a hard time nailing things down. One model run shows a large storm system, then 12 hours later the next model run has no storm system at all; two days later