Manitoba forecaster Daniel Bezte reviews the outcome of Prairie temperature and rainfall predictions for August from sources including weather models, the almanacs and himself, then looks ahead to September.
Tag Archives Weather forecasting
Warmer than average August
Warm weather forecasted to continue in September
Manitoba expected to dodge spring floods
No serious threat of major flooding in Manitoba, province says
Manitoba’s latest flood outlook isn’t flagging major flood issues on the horizon. The February forecast published by the Hydrologic Forecast Centre March 1 put the risk of spring flooding at low to moderate through the province. Fall soil moisture levels sat at normal to below-normal soil moisture at freeze up, the centre noted. That has
El Niño and chaos theory
Will Western Canada have the textbook warm and dry El Niño winter?
El Niño can affect the kind of weather we might expect this winter. The formation and movement of one system can impact how other systems behave around the world. This is called teleconnection, which refers to the long-distance relationships or connections between climate events that occur in different parts of the world. This fundamental concept
June was warmer than July on average
In this month's outlook, the CFS model calls for around-average temperatures and above-average precipitation
If you remember back to May, one of the comments about what June’s weather might be like was the possibility of instant summer. That is exactly what happened across the Prairies in June. Right from the beginning of the month, it felt like we just left spring and jumped right into the middle of summer.
Weather modification and chaos theory
We can’t say exactly what weather will do, so good luck forcing it to do what you want
I was asked some questions last week about weather modification. Can we do it? Is it happening? Has it been weaponized? Is this why we are seeing all this extreme weather? In this day and age, when conspiracy theories seem to spring up and run rampant, the timing of these questions could not be better.
Not all weather folklore consistently pans out
SAYINGS | Prevailing weather adages usually cover the short-term outlook, and for good reason
Over the last month or so I have crisscrossed this great country of ours. I started in early July heading east into the Muskoka region of Ontario to compete in an Ironman 70.3 triathlon. After spending a couple of weeks there, I returned home and did some quick gardening before heading west to Canmore, Alta.
Forecast: Cooler and unsettled weather ahead
Forecast issued July 15, 2022, covering the period from July 20 to 27, 2022
The weather models did a good job with forecasts over the last few weeks, which is fairly typical for this time of the year. By mid-summer, we usually do not have to deal with strong areas of low pressure that can really play havoc with forecasts. This doesn’t mean the forecast will get everything right.
A mixed outlook for July and August
The long-range forecasts from various sources are all over the map, meaning confidence is low
I don’t know about you, but June seemed to go by in a flash. It is hard to believe we are halfway through 2022, and depending on where you live across the Prairies, it has been a very interesting first six months. So, how did the numbers add up for June? Starting in Alberta and
Will summer be cold and wet or hot and dry?
Weather-wise, May 2022 turned out to be a sequel to April
Once again, I am in the position of having to write the monthly weather roundup while there are several days left in the month. Due to my deadline being the Friday before you read this, I had to decide whether I should wait one more issue to take our monthly look back and then peer
Will Manitoba’s warm dry fall continue into winter?
OUTLOOK | Medium-range forecasts aren't looking too promising for major snowfalls
As another month has come and gone, making fall now officially over, and with winter trying to establish a firm grip across the Prairies, it’s time to look back at both November’s weather and the fall of 2021. We’ll begin our summary of November’s weather across the Prairies with a look at the warmest province
Cyber-Savvy Farmer
