Weekly weather map as JPEG.

Will Manitoba’s warm fall linger?

Weather data confirms a mild start to autumn, but forecasts farther into fall 2025 are mixed for Manitoba

Weather data confirms a mild start to autumn, but forecasts farther into fall 2025 are mixed for Manitoba.

weekly weather map jpeg

Warmer than average August

Warm weather forecasted to continue in September

Manitoba forecaster Daniel Bezte reviews the outcome of Prairie temperature and rainfall predictions for August from sources including weather models, the almanacs and himself, then looks ahead to September.









June was warmer than July on average

In this month's outlook, the CFS model calls for around-average temperatures and above-average precipitation

If you remember back to May, one of the comments about what June’s weather might be like was the possibility of instant summer. That is exactly what happened across the Prairies in June. Right from the beginning of the month, it felt like we just left spring and jumped right into the middle of summer.


Forecast: Here we see a weather pattern trying to change

Forecast issued Jan. 13, 2023 • Covering the period from Jan. 18 to 25, 2023

The last forecast period turned out not too badly, considering the weak flow pattern across our region. I said we were going to see a lot of clouds with occasional shots of light snow and, for the most part, that is what we got. On the plus side, temperatures were a little warmer than forecast.

Forecast: Weather models struggling

Forecast issued August 26, 2022, covering August 31 to September 7, 2022

It seems a little early for weather models to be struggling with forecasts, but that has been happening in the last several weeks. For the third consecutive week, the weather models appeared to have settled on a stable forecast, only to have small changes grow and magnify and totally change the forecast. That’s chaos theory