Forecast: A battle between high and low pressure

Issued September 19, 2016 – Covering the period from September 21 to September 28, 2016

Fall is usually a tough time of year to forecast as we begin our shift from summer to winter. This year looks like it might be tougher than most, since our summer weather pattern was pretty unpredictable. We saw a little of this last week. The storm system that was forecast to track by to

Forecast: Seasonable late-summer weather

Issued August 15, 2016 – Covering the period from August 17 to August 24, 2016

For a change, last week’s upper low ended up weakening considerably as it passed through our region, so instead of seeing several days with clouds and showers we only saw partly cloudy skies with only a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. For this forecast period, for the first time in a long while, it


Forecast: Only a slight chance of thunderstorms

Issued August 1, 2016 – Covering the period from August 3 to August 10, 2016

We finally saw some sustained dry weather during this last forecast period, but as forecast, thunderstorms did make an appearance late in the long weekend, bringing some rain to our region. For this forecast period, it looks like the drier weather will stick around as high pressure once again dominates. Just like the last forecast,

Forecast: Fair confidence in drier weather prediction

Issued July 25, 2016 – Covering the period from July 27 to August 3, 2016

Last week’s forecast played out pretty close to what was expected, with a couple of small issues. Well, one small issue and one big issue. First of all the small issue — the system that affected our region over the weekend was a little slower than expected. The big issue was that all of the


These giant hailstones were found after a July 19 storm near Manitou.

Manitoba hail damage claims skyrocket

Last year was bad; this year could be worse

Commodity News Service Canada – The massive storms that have steamrolled through parts of Manitoba are causing significantly higher-than-average hail damage claims, according to the Canadian Crop Hail Association. The association’s hail report last Thursday said the ratio of claims to policies has soared due to storms on July 4, July 10 and July 16, which

Forecast: Weather outlook a little drier and cooler

Issued June 27, 2016 – Covering the period from June 29 to July 6, 2016

Last week’s weather was almost exactly what was expected. The strong weekend low did track a little farther north than forecast, but it still brought the anticipated stormy wet weather. Luckily, it looks like we’ll see some drier weather during this forecast period — I hope. This forecast period begins with partly cloudy skies on


Forecast: Seasonable temperatures ahead

Issued June 20, 2016 – Covering the period from June 22 to June 29, 2016

I don’t know if I would call last week’s forecast a total bust, as the main weather features occurred as forecasted, but as I’ve said before, sometimes, when it comes to forecasting, the devil is in the details. Take last Friday: none of the short-term forecasts predicted the development of the severe thunderstorms that tracked

Forecast: Active weather pattern continues

Issued June 13, 2016 – Covering the period from June 15 to June 22, 2016

Last week’s forecast was a bit hit and miss. We did see some heat move in, late in the week, as the upper ridge finally moved in, but a couple of upper-level disturbances brought some pretty unsettled weather over the weekend, along with much cooler-than-expected temperatures. For this forecast period, it looks like our active


Forecast: Upper ridge to dominate this forecast period

Issued May 30, 2016 – Covering the period from June 1 to June 8, 2016

We ended up seeing more clouds than sun during the last forecast period, thanks mostly to a couple of upper-level lows that took their sweet time moving out of our region. All of the extra clouds and showers also helped to keep temperatures cooler than expected, with daytime highs only making it into the upper

Heavy rainstorms led to historic summer-level flooding across nearly all of southern and central Manitoba in 2005.

A historical look at Prairie weather

Let’s look at the wildest, weirdest and/or most disastrous weather in Prairie history

Each year Environment Canada puts out its top 10 weather stories and I like to go through them taking a more western focus. While 2015’s top stories are not quite out yet, I thought it might be interesting to go back over the last 115 years or so and look at some of the biggest